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2012 Kentucky Derby Contenders: Trinniberg

Horse: Trinniberg
Trainer: Bisnath Parboo
Pedigree: By Teuflesberg out of a Goldminer's Gold mare (Bella Dorato)
Career Record: 7-3-2-0
Career Earnings: $341,300
Notable Races: G3-Bay Shore (1st); G3-Swale (1st); G2-Nashua (2nd); G1-Hopeful (2nd); G2-Saratoga Special (5th); Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint (7th)

Can He Win The 2012 Kentucky Derby?:

Speed, speed, speed.

Let’s just get a couple of things out of the way right off the bat with regards to Trinniberg. First, he’s a pure sprinter; he’s never run a race longer than seven furlongs (7/8ths of a mile) in his career and he’s a horse that runs his best when he controls the pace from the lead. Second, his pedigree screams "SPRINTER" all over the place. His sire, Teuflesberg, was a sprinter. His damsire, Goldminer’s Gold, was a sprinter. The average winning distance for the offspring of his sire and damsire is approximately six and a half furlongs. The Kentucky Derby is 10 furlongs, or 1 ¼ miles. Do the math.

Is it impossible for Trinniberg to win the Derby? Certainly not. If the rest of the Derby field were to let this horse set a ridiculously easy pace there’s a possibility that he could take them all the way around the track. But the likelihood of Trinniberg obtaining an easy lead in the opening furlongs is slim, at best. Additionally, even if Trinniberg is able to set an easy and moderate pace, he’s still got a lot of pedigree working against him. Horses from sprint-dominant pedigrees just don’t win the Kentucky Derby.

Trinniberg is a good bet to set the pace but he’s a bad bet to be anywhere near the leaders when they cross the finish line.