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Bracketology: Despite WCC loss, BYU remains in for now

The same 36 at-large teams present in Chris Dobbertean's Tuesday projection remain there on Wednesday. That includes the Cougars, who fell in their conference final on Tuesday night. SB Nation's GIF Tournament V

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Four teams reached the 2014 NCAA Tournament with auto-bid-clinching victories on Tuesday night. Mount St. Mary's blew Robert Morris off of its home floor by a score of 88-71 to claim the Northeast title and likely a place in the First Four in Dayton. In the Horizon League, Milwaukee also won on the road, knocking off Wright State, 69-63, to earn a place on the 15 or 16 line. North Dakota State held off IPFW, 60-57, to claim the Summit crown for the first time since 2009. And finally, in Tuesday's lone game with bubble implications, Gonzaga topped BYU for the West Coast title, 75-64.

As a result of the loss, the Cougars remain in the bracket but barely, as part of the at-large half of the First Four in Dayton. Curiously, they could meet UMass -- a team they lost to in a 105-96 thriller back in December -- if they can make it out of Dayton. Teams that met once during the regular season should not meet until the Round of 32. However, since BYU must be placed on a Thursday-Saturday path for the first two weekends, that possible rematch is the only way to preserve the integrity of the seedings, which appears to be a point of emphasis for the Selection Committee in 2014.

However, with five days of games left and many chances left for their bubble brethren the Cougars cannot feel safe with so many bad losses on their selection sheet. Plus, if Kyle Collinsworth's leg injury is serious, BYU could see itself evaluated negatively because of his likely absence for the remainder of the season.

I'll have more on today's schedule after the bracket and rundown. ALL CAPS means that the school has clinched an automatic birth, except for BYU, SMU, UCLA, and VCU.

(1) SOUTH
Memphis (Thu/Sat)
(2) WEST
Anaheim (Thu/Sat)
Orlando (Thu/Sat) San Diego (Fri/Sun)
1 Florida (SEC) 1 Arizona (Pac-12)
16 MOUNT ST. MARY'S/Weber State *16 MILWAUKEE (Horizon)
8 Oregon 8 88 Iowa
9 Oklahoma State 9 Kansas State
San Diego (Fri/Sun) San Antonio (Fri/Sun)
55 5 Michigan State 5 Saint Louis (A-10)
^12 Arkansas 122 NORTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit)
4 Cincinnati (AAC) 4 Iowa State
13 Stephen F. Austin (Southland) 13 DELAWARE (CAA)
Spokane (Thu/Sat) Buffalo (Thu/Sat)
6 Texas 666 UMass
11 Stanford ^11 BYU/Tennessee
3 San Diego State (MW) 3 Syracuse
14 MERCER (A-Sun) 14 Boston U. (Patriot)
Raleigh (Fri/Sun) Milwaukee (Thu/Sat)
7 VCU 7 Memphis
10 Nebraska 10 Colorado
2 Duke 2 Michigan (Big Ten)
15 Stony Brook (AmEast) 15 Utah Valley (WAC)
(4) EAST
New York (Fri/Sun)
(3) MIDWEST
Indianapolis (Fri/Sun)
Buffalo (Thu/Sat) St. Louis (Fri/Sun)
1 Villanova (Big East) 1 WICHITA STATE (MVC)
16 WOFFORD (SoCon) 16 COASTAL CAROLINA/Texas Sthn.
8 New Mexico 8 Baylor
9 SMU 9 GONZAGA (WCC)
Spokane (Thu/Sat) San Antonio (Fri/Sun)
5 Ohio State 5 Oklahoma
12 Louisiana Tech (C-USA) 12 HARVARD (Ivy)
4 North Carolina 4 Creighton
*13 MANHATTAN (MAAC) 13 Western Michigan (MAC)
Orlando (Thu/Sat) Raleigh (Fri/Sun)
6 Kentucky 6 UCLA
11 St. Joseph's 11 Arkansas/Xavier
3 Louisville 3 Virginia (ACC)
14 EASTERN KENTUCKY (OVC) 14 Georgia State (Sun Belt)
St. Louis (Fri/Sun) Milwaukee (Thu/Sat)
7 George Washington 7 Connecticut
10 Arizona State 10 Pittsburgh
2 Kansas (Big 12) 2 Wisconsin
15 N.C. Central (MEAC) 15 UC Irvine (Big West)
FIRST FOUR (Dayton)
Tuesday: To Orlando Tuesday: To Buffalo
*16 MOUNT ST. MARY'S (NEC) ^11 BYU
16 Weber State (Big Sky) ^11 Tennessee
Wednesday: To St. Louis Wednesday: To Raleigh
16 COASTAL CAROLINA (Big South) 11 Dayton
16 Texas Southern (SWAC) 11 Xavier

BIDS BY CONFERENCE AVOIDING DAYTON ARRIVALS DEPARTURES
Big 12: 7 Pittsburgh Milwaukee Robert Morris
A 10: 6 Stanford Mount St. Mary's Wright State
Big Ten: 6 St. Joseph's

Pac-12: 6 BYU

AAC: 5 LAST FOUR IN

ACC: 5
Arkansas

SEC: 4 Xavier

Big East: 3 Dayton

MW: 2 Tennessee

WCC: 2 FIRST FOUR OUT

1-Bid Conferences: 22 California


Minnesota


St. John's


Georgetown


NEXT FOUR OUT


Green Bay


Southern Mississippi


Missouri


Florida State

Also considered: Toledo, Georgia, Clemson, West Virginia, N.C. State, Utah, LSU, Marquette, Indiana, Richmond

Wednesday is busy in terms of games played, as 14 conference tournaments will be in action. However, just one league (the Patriot) will determine its auto-bid winner tonight. The Patriot League will be won by either top-seeded Boston U. or No. 2 American. That will be the last invitation handed out until Saturday, a day which features 14 championship tilts.

The other 13 events are in some sort of preliminary round. That means that despite all of the games on the schedule, only seven feature teams that have at-large hopes.

  • Baylor and Oklahoma State both participate in this evening's Big 12 First Round, facing TCU and Texas Tech, respectively.
  • Georgetown is the unlucky Big East bubble team that fell into that conference's preliminary round. The Hoyas simply cannot afford a loss to woeful DePaul in the nightcap in New York.
  • Colorado (vs. USC) and Stanford (vs. Washington State) should advance fairly easily to the Pac-12 quarterfinals, but Oregon and Utah may struggle to get to tomorrow. The Ducks must play archrival Oregon State, while the Utes take on Washington in the 8/9 game.

So, thanks to today's slate, there may be a more substantial bracketology update on the way for Thursday morning. Until then, head over to Blogging the Bracket, which features daily TV previews from a bracket perspective. You can also follow me during each night's action on Twitter @ChrisDobbertean.