No team has won the Super Bowl after trailing by more than 10 points. Nearing halftime, New England found itself down 21-0. That ballooned to 28-3 in the third quarter, so the odds were certainly not in the Patriots’ favor.
And then Tom Brady added another Super Bowl record to his resume.
When New England beat the Seahawks in Super Bowl XLIX, the Patriots were down 10 in the third quarter before scoring 14 in the final frame to notch the win — and even then it came down to a final goal-line stand.
ESPN gave the Falcons an 86.2 percent chance to win after scoring their second touchdown, but that didn’t necessarily mean much as recent history shows.
Atlanta now has an 86% chance of winning, per ESPN. That's about the same Clinton's chances heading into the election pic.twitter.com/fNpBPSO8tJ— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) February 6, 2017
Once Atlanta went up by 25 that win probability jumped to 99.7 percent.
History said this one was over. History was wrong.