The 2018 NFL Mock
Draft Database

By Adam Stites

More often than not, mock drafts are wrong.

In 2017, Joe Marino of NDT Scouting had the most accurate mock draft of the year, according to Huddle Report, and he earned that title with a grand total of nine correct predictions of player-team pairings. Nine.

Mock drafting is essentially a game of darts played blindfolded. However, surveying a sampling of them, we can usually throw enough darts at the board that a few more hit the bullseye. Last year, our sampling of 104 mock drafts had just two picks not affected by trades — Evan Engram to the New York Giants and Ryan Ramczyk to the New Orleans Saints — that weren’t predicted in any mock drafts.

Here we’ll be tracking the direction experts are predicting each team will go with their first-round selections in the 2018 NFL Draft.

Methodology

  • This will be updated consistently until draft day.
  • Players selected less than eight percent of the time fall into the “others” category. That threshold may change as more mock drafts are added.
  • Mock drafts that include trades are not included.
  • All the mock drafts used are listed at the bottom.
Pick
Player Breakdown (click to expand)

Draft Breakdown

Cleveland Browns

Consensus: Sam Darnold

Color Percent Position Name School
64% QB Sam Darnold USC
27% QB Josh Allen Wyoming
7% – Other –

New York Giants

Consensus: Saquon Barkley

Color Percent Position Name School
67% RB Saquon Barkley Penn State
16% QB Sam Darnold USC
16% – Other –

New York Jets

Consensus: Baker Mayfield

Color Percent Position Name School
46% QB Baker Mayfield Oklahoma
32% QB Josh Rosen UCLA
14% QB Sam Darnold USC
6% – Other –

Cleveland Browns

Consensus: Bradley Chubb

Color Percent Position Name School
71% EDGE Bradley Chubb NC State
20% RB Saquon Barkley Penn State
8% – Other –

Denver Broncos

Consensus: Josh Allen

Color Percent Position Name School
27% QB Josh Allen Wyoming
23% QB Baker Mayfield Oklahoma
14% G Quenton Nelson Notre Dame
13% QB Josh Rosen UCLA
11% CB Denzel Ward Ohio State
9% – Other –

Indianapolis Colts

Consensus: Quenton Nelson

Color Percent Position Name School
44% G Quenton Nelson Notre Dame
16% LB Roquan Smith Georgia
16% EDGE Bradley Chubb NC State
12% CB Denzel Ward Ohio State
10% – Other –

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Consensus: Derwin James

Color Percent Position Name School
44% DB Derwin James Florida State
27% DB Minkah Fitzpatrick Alabama
10% CB Denzel Ward Ohio State
10% G Quenton Nelson Notre Dame
7% – Other –

Chicago Bears

Consensus: Quenton Nelson

Color Percent Position Name School
25% G Quenton Nelson Notre Dame
23% LB Tremaine Edmunds Virginia Tech
18% CB Denzel Ward Ohio State
16% LB Roquan Smith Georgia
15% – Other –

San Francisco 49ers

Consensus: Tremaine Edmunds

Color Percent Position Name School
32% LB Tremaine Edmunds Virginia Tech
24% LB Roquan Smith Georgia
13% DB Minkah Fitzpatrick Alabama
9% CB Denzel Ward Ohio State
19% – Other –

Oakland Raiders

Consensus: Roquan Smith

Color Percent Position Name School
26% LB Roquan Smith Georgia
15% CB Denzel Ward Ohio State
14% LB Tremaine Edmunds Virginia Tech
12% DB Minkah Fitzpatrick Alabama
9% DT Vita Vea Washington
8% OT Mike McGlinchey Notre Dame
13% – Other –

Miami Dolphins

Consensus: Vita Vea

Color Percent Position Name School
22% DT Vita Vea Washington
20% QB Josh Rosen UCLA
16% QB Baker Mayfield Oklahoma
8% LB Tremaine Edmunds Virginia Tech
8% LB Roquan Smith Georgia
23% – Other –

Buffalo Bills

Consensus: Josh Allen

Color Percent Position Name School
27% QB Josh Allen Wyoming
21% QB Josh Rosen UCLA
21% QB Lamar Jackson Louisville
9% QB Baker Mayfield Oklahoma
19% – Other –

Washington

Consensus: Vita Vea

Color Percent Position Name School
43% DT Vita Vea Washington
9% DB Derwin James Florida State
9% DT Da'Ron Payne Alabama
9% DB Minkah Fitzpatrick Alabama
28% – Other –

Green Bay Packers

Consensus: Marcus Davenport

Color Percent Position Name School
23% EDGE Marcus Davenport UTSA
13% EDGE Harold Landry Boston College
11% DB Minkah Fitzpatrick Alabama
9% DB Derwin James Florida State
9% CB Josh Jackson Iowa
32% – Other –

Arizona Cardinals

Consensus: Lamar Jackson

Color Percent Position Name School
30% QB Lamar Jackson Louisville
27% WR Calvin Ridley Alabama
41% – Other –

Baltimore Ravens

Consensus: Calvin Ridley

Color Percent Position Name School
26% WR Calvin Ridley Alabama
20% OT Mike McGlinchey Notre Dame
8% QB Lamar Jackson Louisville
44% – Other –

Los Angeles Chargers

Consensus: Da'Ron Payne

Color Percent Position Name School
28% DT Da'Ron Payne Alabama
13% OT Mike McGlinchey Notre Dame
57% – Other –

Seattle Seahawks

Consensus: Josh Jackson

Color Percent Position Name School
19% CB Josh Jackson Iowa
18% EDGE Marcus Davenport UTSA
17% EDGE Harold Landry Boston College
44% – Other –

Dallas Cowboys

Consensus: Leighton Vander Esch

Color Percent Position Name School
24% LB Leighton Vander Esch Boise State
20% WR Courtland Sutton Southern Methodist
19% WR D.J. Moore Maryland
14% WR Calvin Ridley Alabama
20% – Other –

Detroit Lions

Consensus: Harold Landry

Color Percent Position Name School
20% EDGE Harold Landry Boston College
15% RB Derrius Guice LSU
13% DT Da'Ron Payne Alabama
12% EDGE Marcus Davenport UTSA
11% DT Taven Bryan Florida
26% – Other –

Cincinnati Bengals

Consensus: James Daniels

Color Percent Position Name School
27% C James Daniels Iowa
17% G Will Hernandez UTEP
12% C Frank Ragnow Arkansas
9% G Isaiah Wynn Georgia
8% OT Mike McGlinchey Notre Dame
24% – Other –

Buffalo Bills

Consensus: Rashaan Evans

Color Percent Position Name School
12% LB Rashaan Evans Alabama
10% G Isaiah Wynn Georgia
10% LB Leighton Vander Esch Boise State
9% WR D.J. Moore Maryland
57% – Other –

New England Patriots

Consensus: Kolton Miller

Color Percent Position Name School
26% OT Kolton Miller UCLA
10% LB Rashaan Evans Alabama
10% OT Mike McGlinchey Notre Dame
9% CB Jaire Alexander Louisville
43% – Other –

Carolina Panthers

Consensus: D.J. Moore

Color Percent Position Name School
12% WR D.J. Moore Maryland
10% CB Mike Hughes UCF
10% CB Josh Jackson Iowa
9% CB Jaire Alexander Louisville
8% G Will Hernandez UTEP
8% WR Courtland Sutton Southern Methodist
41% – Other –

Tennessee Titans

Consensus: Rashaan Evans

Color Percent Position Name School
16% LB Rashaan Evans Alabama
15% EDGE Harold Landry Boston College
11% EDGE Sam Hubbard Ohio State
9% LB Leighton Vander Esch Boise State
8% EDGE Marcus Davenport UTSA
8% C James Daniels Iowa
30% – Other –

Atlanta Falcons

Consensus: Taven Bryan

Color Percent Position Name School
50% DT Taven Bryan Florida
12% DT Da'Ron Payne Alabama
12% DT Maurice Hurst Michigan
24% – Other –

New Orleans Saints

Consensus: Hayden Hurst

Color Percent Position Name School
30% TE Hayden Hurst South Carolina
24% TE Dallas Goedert South Dakota State
9% TE Mike Gesicki Penn State
35% – Other –

Pittsburgh Steelers

Consensus: Rashaan Evans

Color Percent Position Name School
29% LB Rashaan Evans Alabama
16% S Justin Reid Stanford
11% LB Leighton Vander Esch Boise State
10% CB Jaire Alexander Louisville
8% RB Derrius Guice LSU
23% – Other –

Jacksonville Jaguars

Consensus: Courtland Sutton

Color Percent Position Name School
14% WR Courtland Sutton Southern Methodist
10% WR D.J. Moore Maryland
8% TE Hayden Hurst South Carolina
8% G Isaiah Wynn Georgia
58% – Other –

Minnesota Vikings

Consensus: Will Hernandez

Color Percent Position Name School
23% G Will Hernandez UTEP
22% G Isaiah Wynn Georgia
13% OT Connor Williams Texas
40% – Other –

New England Patriots

Consensus: Kolton Miller

Color Percent Position Name School
23% OT Kolton Miller UCLA
12% CB Jaire Alexander Louisville
9% CB Josh Jackson Iowa
9% QB Mason Rudolph Oklahoma State
8% CB Mike Hughes UCF
37% – Other –

Philadelphia Eagles

Consensus: Derrius Guice

Color Percent Position Name School
23% RB Derrius Guice LSU
12% RB Sony Michel Georgia
63% – Other –

Sources

•Dan Kadar – SB Nation •Vinnie Iyer – Sporting News •Mel Kiper – ESPN •Jason Owens – Yahoo •Drew Davison/Peter Dawson – Fort Worth Star-Telegram •Eddie Brown – San Diego Union-Tribune •Staff – Draft Tek •Phillip Heilman – Florida Times-Union •John McClain – Houston Chronicle •Aaron Wilson – Houston Chronicle •Jason Lieser – Palm Beach Post •Mark Potash – Chicago Sun-Times •D. Orlando Ledbetter – Atlanta Journal-Constitution •Tony Pauline – DraftAnalyst •Mike Kaye – First Coast News •Omar Kelly – Orlando Sun-Sentinel •Bob McManaman – Arizona Republic •Ben Standig – NBC Sports Washington •Matt Burke – Metro US •Todd McShay – ESPN •Scott Wright – Draft Countdown •Cory Bonini – TheHuddle •Dan Labbe – Cleveland Plain-Dealer •Dan Bilicki – Toronto Sun •Nick Klopsis – Newsday •Don Banks – Patriots.com •Rob Rang – NFLDraftScout •Bucky Brooks – NFL.com •R.J. White – CBS Sports •Josh Edwards – 247Sports •Staff – Stats LLC •Dane Brugler – NFLDraftScout •Bryan Fischer – Athlon Sports •Mike Farrell – Rivals •Tony Grossi – ESPN Cleveland •Phil Perry – NBC Sports Boston •Scott Dochterman – Land of 10 •Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz – USA Today •Art Stapleton – NorthJersey.com •Jason McIntyre – The Big Lead •Daniel Jeremiah – NFL.com •Mike Clay – ESPN •Ryan Wilson – CBS Sports •Josh Reed – WIVB •Nick Filipowski – WIVB •Sean Rhodes/Antonio Castro – PhilSteele.com •Mark Lindquist – Rotoworld •Dave Birkett – Detroit Free Press •Miguel Pasquel – ESPN Deportes •Bob Glauber – Newsday •Lou Pickney – Draft King •Doug Farrar – Bleacher Report •Curtis Conway – NFL.com •Newy Scruggs – NBC DFW •Patrick Finley – Chicago Sun-Times •Daniel Gallen/Aaron Kasinitz – PennLive •Mark Craig – Minneapolis Star Tribune •Paul Domowitch – Philly.com •Barry Wilner – Associated Press •Darryl Slater – NJ Advance Media •Charles Davis – NFL.com •NFL Nation – ESPN •Les Bowen – Philly.com •Thor Nystrom – Rotoworld •Adam Stites – SB Nation •Chris Simms – Bleacher Report •Jeff McLane – Philly.com •Bob Condotta/Larry Stone – Seattle Times •Nate Davis – USA Today •Ed Bouchette – Pittsburgh Post-Gazette •Ray Fittipaldo – Pittsburgh Post-Gazette •Jeff Schudel – Lake County (Ohio) News-Herald •Manish Mehta – New York Daily News •Grant Cohn – Santa Rosa Press Democrat •Jeff Risdon – RealGM •Joe Schad – Palm Beach Post •Good Morning Football – NFL Network •Aaron Nagler – USA Today •Josh Friedman – South Jersey Courier Post •David Weinberg – Press of Atlantic City •Steven Ruiz – For The Win •Scott Williams – Wisconsin Rapids Tribune •John Mullin – NBC Sports Chicago •JJ Stankevitz – NBC Sports Chicago •John Oehser – Jaguars.com •Kevin Lyttle – Austin American-Statesman •Cat Vasquez – Austin American-Statesman •Nick Shepkowski – 670 The Score •Matt Miller – Bleacher Report •Evan Silva – Rotoworld •Jimmy Kempski – Philly Voice •Mark Maske – Washington Post •Charley Casserly – NFL.com •Sam Farmer – Los Angeles Times •Greg Cote – Miami Herald •Matt Tabeek – AtlantaFalcons.com •Matt Barrows – Sacramento Bee

Credits

Design & Development: Frank Bi

Editor: Ryan Van Bibber

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