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Kentucky vs. Wisconsin betting, odds favor Wildcats over Badgers

Kentucky is favored again as a lower seed in Final Four betting against No. 2 Wisconsin. The trends favor the Wildcats, but the computer prediction says Badgers.

Andy Lyons

SB Nation 2014 Final Four Preview

The No. 8 seed Kentucky Wildcats are 4-1 SU in their last five trips to the Final Four, including their championship run in 2012.

Kentucky will be the favorite over a higher seed for the second straight game at the AT&T Center in Arlington, Texas, squaring off against the No. 2 seed Wisconsin Badgers as a 2-point favorite.

Loaded up with inexperienced freshmen, the Kentucky Wildcats went through their share of growing pains over the course of the regular season. But the team is peaking at the right time, boasting a 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS record over its last seven games with a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS record in the NCAA Tournament.

Overall, they have won 10 straight tournament games and turned an 8-1-1 ATS profit for bettors.

Kentucky has already knocked off No. 1 seed Wichita State, No. 4 seed Louisville and No. 2 seed Michigan as an eight seed and is looking to add another high-seeded team to the win column.

Wisconsin is making its first appearance in the Final Four since losing to Michigan State back in 2000. The Badgers have proven to be the last team standing out of the Big Ten, currently on a 13-2 SU run that includes a 4-0 ATS record through the tournament.

Computer Prediction: 74-73 Wisconsin

Wisconsin won and covered as a favorite through the first three rounds before upsetting No. 1 seed Arizona in overtime as a 3.5-point underdog.

Kentucky has had the total go OVER in each of its last three games after seeing the UNDER go 10-4 over its previous 14 games. Conversely, the total has gone UNDER in three of Wisconsin's last four games after going OVER in each of its previous four.

Both of these teams are in top form with 4-0 SU and ATS records in tournament play and both offenses have played well with Wisconsin averaging 73.3 PPG and Kentucky averaging 70.8 PPG.

In 14 games since 2005 (excluding games where both teams had the same seed), the higher-ranked teams are 13-1 SU. At the betting window they were almost as dominant, riding a 11-2-1 ATS.

While Kentucky has been grabbing more headlines with its star players and big wins, Wisconsin's consistently strong play and win over Arizona suggest that the Badgers can hang.

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