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1. The nine biggest headlines
- Georgia’s now got the sixth highest-rated class ever.
- Alabama’s reign of No. 1 classes is likely over! The Tide plummeted all the way to ... No. 5, with plenty of room to grow.
- Clemson signed four of the country’s top nine recruits.
- Clemson stole Ohio’s No. 1 recruit from Ohio State, with drama afoot.
- The two biggest flips: QB Emory Jones from Ohio State to Florida and DB Jaiden Woodbey from Ohio State to FSU. (This all makes it sound like Ohio State had a horrific week! The Buckeyes are fine and could still finish No. 2.)
- Texas might’ve assembled the best class of defensive backs ever.
- 2019’s No. 1 QB, JT Daniels, reclassified to 2018, giving USC a big boost.
- A bunch of teams who aren’t typically top-tier recruiters took advantage of the shortened calendar by locking down quality classes. Examples: Washington, Minnesota, Virginia Tech, Maryland, and NC State.
- And of the following top 101 recruits, roughly a third remain unsigned heading toward February’s National Signing Day.
2. The status of the 247Sports Composite’s top 100 2018 recruits
We updated this section as signatures rolled in, with expected announcement dates in parentheses — though players won’t be able to actually sign next until Feb. 7 — and signees in bold.
- QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson signee
- QB Justin Fields, Georgia signee
- DE Xavier Thomas, Clemson signee
- DE Micah Parsons, Penn State signee
- CB Patrick Surtain Jr., favored to LSU, per 247Sports Crystal Ball, but don’t be so sure (February)
- RB Zamir White, Georgia signee
- DE Eyabi Anoma, Alabama signee
- DE K.J. Henry, Clemson signee
- OT Jackson Carman, Clemson signee
- OG Jamaree Salyer, Georgia signee
- WR Terrace Marshall, LSU signee
- WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, predicted to USC (February)
- DT Taron Vincent, Ohio State signee
- LB Palaie Gaoteote, USC signee
- WR Justin Shorter, Penn State signee
- OT Cade Mays, Georgia signee
- OT Nicholas Petit-Frere, with Notre Dame and SEC schools in the mix
- LB Adam Anderson, Georgia signee
- S BJ Foster, Texas signee
- RB Lorenzo Lingard, Miami signee
- QB JT Daniels, a 2018 USC signee who was part of the 2019 class but is skipping his senior year of high school
- WR Devon Williams, predicted to Oregon
- DE Brenton Cox, Georgia signee
- RB Jaelen Gill, Ohio State signee
- RB Ricky Slade, Penn State signee
- CB Isaac Taylor-Stuart, predicted to USC (February 7)
- CB Tyson Campbell, favored to Miami (February)
- S Jaiden Woodbey, Florida State signee
- OT Brey Walker, Oklahoma signee
- TE Jeremy Ruckert, Ohio State signee
- CB Olaijah Griffin, UCLA commit (February)
- RB James Cook (Dalvin’s little brother), Georgia signee
- QB Tanner McKee, favored to Stanford (February 7)
- CB Anthony Cook, Texas signee
- QB Justin Rogers, TCU signee
- S Caden Sterns, Texas signee
- S Kelvin Joseph, favored to LSU (February)
- QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, UCLA commit (After ESP)
- OG Trey Hill, Georgia signee
- LB Teradja Mitchell, Ohio State signee
- QB Emory Jones, Florida signee
- S Tyreke Johnson, Ohio State signee
- WR Derion Kendrick, Clemson signee
- LB JJ Peterson, favored to Tennessee or Alabama (February 7)
- OG Penei Sewell, favored to Oregon (February)
- OT William Barnes, favored to Florida (February 7)
- CB Jalen Green, Texas signee
- CB Brendan Radley-Hiles, favored to Oklahoma (January 6)
- WR Brennan Eagles, Texas signee
- TE Luke Ford, Georgia signee
- WR Jaylen Waddle, favored to Alabama or Texas A&M (February)
- WR Marquis Spiker, Washington signee
- CB Anthony Lytton, Florida State signee
- WR Jacob Copeland, favored to Alabama or Florida
- DT Michael Thompson, favored to Missouri (February)
- OL Matthew Jones, Ohio State signee
- CB Asante Samuel Jr., Florida State signee
- CB Al Blades Jr., Miami signee
- WR Justyn Ross, favored to Clemson over Alabama and Auburn (February 7)
- DE Tyreke Smith, favored to Ohio State (January 4)
- QB Matt Corral, Ole Miss signee
- WR Mark Pope, Miami signee
- TE Brevin Jordan, Miami signee
- CB Houston Griffith, Notre Dame signee
- LB Quay Walker, Alabama commit
- WR Kamryn Babb, Ohio State signee
- QB Phil Jurkovec, Notre Dame signee
- LB Payton Wilson, NC State signee
- S DeMarvion Overshown, Texas signee
- S Derrik Allen, Notre Dame signee
- DE Stephon Wynn, Alabama signee
- CB Kyler McMichael, Clemson signee
- WR Jalen Hall, favored to Oregon or USC
- WR Kevin Austin, Notre Dame signee
- WR JaMarr Chase, favored to TCU or LSU (February)
- WR Jordyn Adams, North Carolina signee
- S Josh Proctor, Ohio State signee
- QB Colson Yankoff, Washington signee
- S Leon O’Neal Jr., favored to Texas A&M despite being a recent A&M decommit
- ATH Bryan Addison, UCLA signee
- OT Rasheed Walker, favored to Penn State
- QB Jacob Sirmon, Washington signee
- RB Brian Snead, Ohio State signee
- RB T.J. Pledger, Oklahoma signee
- DT Tyler Friday, favored to Michigan (February 7)
- WR Joshua Moore, favored to Texas A&M
- OT Richard Gouraige, Florida commit
- ATH Talanoa Hufanga, favored to USC or Oregon
- LB Solomon Tuliaupupu, favored to USC (January or later)
- DE Jordan Davis, Alabama signee
- Al’vonte Woodard, Texas signee
- LB Channing Tindall, Georgia signee
- LB Otis Reese, Michigan commit
- WR Jalen Preston, Texas A&M commit (February)
- DT Robert Cooper, Florida State signee
- CB Josh Jobe, Alabama signee
- DE Ronnie Perkins, Oklahoma signee
- OT Nana Asiedu, Penn State signee
- WR Matthew Hill, Auburn commit (January)
- DT Tuli Letuligasenoa, USC commit
- C Emil Ekiyor, Alabama signee
3. The updated top 10 classes
(If that’s not loading for you, the full rankings are here.)
4. Does all this even matter all that much?
Oh, absolutely. At this point, there’s little doubt that recruiting rankings are worthwhile at the big-picture level, despite those (wonderful!) success stories that always spring to mind about two-stars overcoming the odds and getting drafted in the first round.
- They matter at the player level. Blue chips are almost 1,000 percent more likely to be drafted in the first round. You can see the star ratings drop throughout the NFL draft. And five-stars are about 33 times as likely to be All-Americans as two-stars are.
- They matter at the team level. Matt Hinton broke the country into five tiers of recruiting might, finding the higher-recruiting schools to consistently beat their lessers virtually across the board.
- They matter at the championship level. Every national champion of the ratings era has passed a specific recruiting benchmark, as Bud Elliott’s Blue-Chip Ratio annually demonstrates.
- There are major exceptions, duh, like CMU’s Eric Fisher, who went from being a 240-pound two-star to a 306-pound No. 1 pick — hard to expect national rankings to predict a player to gain 66 quality pounds in college. Bill Connelly, who's way smarter than me, still finds them highly valuable, despite obvious flaws.
- Perfection shouldn't be the standard, though. Especially since the four big services get better during the course of a year and more accurate from year to year. Just Rate The Bama Croots Highly has been a winning strategy, for one.
- At the anecdotal level, let's take a look at how all of college football would've changed if one recruit, five-star Tim Tebow, had chosen differently. See how much one commit mattered?