After a solid first week, an awful second week, and a great third week, Week 4 did not go as well, and I treaded water in Week 5. But Week 6 was quite good, and I'm now 59-53 (53 percent, +$241). Let's get to the wagers. For up-to-date odds information, visit OddsShark.
Wager | Odds |
Oklahoma -13.5 vs. Texas | -105 |
Miami (OH) at UMass -3 | -100 |
Buffalo at Western Michigan +12.5 | -105 |
Central Michigan +17.5 at Ohio | -110 |
Eastern Michigan at Army -7 | -105 |
Virginia at Maryland -7 | -105 |
Michigan at Penn State +3 | -115 |
Texas A&M at Ole Miss +7 | -115 |
Texas A&M at Ole Miss Over 74.5 | -106 |
Stanford at Utah +8.5 | 100 |
Northwestern at Wisconsin -10 | -110 |
Nebraska at Purdue +14.5 | -110 |
Oregon at Washington +14.5 | -110 |
Indiana at Michigan State -9.5 | -110 |
Missouri at Georgia Over 63.5 | -106 |
Rice at UTSA -1 | -105 |
Syracuse at NC State Under 54.5 | -106 |
As usual, I will discuss the games involving ranked teams, and if you want any thoughts on any other game, head to the comments section.
- The wager on Oklahoma is a wager on the one elite unit in the game -- Oklahoma's defense -- and a wager against Mack Brown's Texas team, which continues to look incompetent.
- Penn State is a live home underdog, and I have doubts about how Michigan will handle Happy Valley for a night game. Michigan does not present the same challenges to Penn State's defense as Indiana did. A week after betting against the Nittany Lions and on the Michigan Wolverines, the roles are reversed.
- I considered betting Texas A&M on the moneyline to win outright, but wanted to find +215 or better, and could not. I also expect the game to be very high scoring.
- Utah has extra days to prepare for Stanford, was a bit unlucky last week in throwing six interceptions, and stops the run pretty well. I'll take anything over a touchdown at home.
- Wisconsin is a classic betting angle -- an unranked team favored over a ranked team. And this time, Northwestern is an underdog of 10 points! This is an automatic gambling rule.
- I like Washington's speed on defense against Oregon and think the Huskies are for real.
- Michigan State's defense is dominant, and I expect Indiana to struggle in going on the road to face the Spartans.
- Georgia is missing a lot of players on offense, but it does still have Aaron Murray, who is extremely accurate. And Missouri's offense is way better than its defense. Here's to a shootout.
As always, get the best line, and good luck.
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