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2014 college football rankings, Week 10: The composite Top 25

Mississippi State holds on to No. 1 in the AP, while Auburn moves into the top four. Now we'll see Tuesday night what the selection committee thinks.

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Just two Top 25 teams lost in Week 9, but one of them was a big one: Ole Miss, previously ranked No. 3 in the AP, fell to LSU, opening a top-four spot for the taking. Alabama has snatched that spot in both polls, with Mississippi State hanging on to the top.

Below, we've combined the two big human polls with two well-known computer rankings to produce a composite. It might be the best guess out there as to how the selection committee is thinking, heading into its first rankings release at 7:30 p.m. ET Tuesday night, with one exception: there's almost no way the committee will declare four SEC teams to be the country's best. The real best guess, then, might be drop a few of those top SEC teams. Expect Mississippi State and Florida State to be the committee's top two, with Michigan State, Oregon, TCU, and several SEC teams among the next bunch.

For now, here are the composite rankings:

Composite Average AP Coaches F/+ Massey
1 Mississippi State 2.25 1 Mississippi State Mississippi State Ole Miss Alabama
2 Alabama 2.5 2 Florida State Florida State Auburn Ole Miss
3 Auburn 3.5 3 Alabama Alabama Alabama Mississippi State
4 Ole Miss 4.75 4 Auburn Auburn Mississippi State Auburn
5 Florida State 5 5 Oregon Michigan State Oregon Florida State
6 Oregon 5.75 6 Notre Dame Oregon Oklahoma Georgia
7 Michigan State 8.5 7 Ole Miss Notre Dame TCU Oregon
8 Georgia 9.25 8 Michigan State Georgia Ohio State LSU
8 TCU 9.25 9 Georgia Ole Miss Clemson Kansas State
10 Notre Dame 11.75 10 TCU TCU Michigan State TCU
11 Kansas State 12 11 Kansas State Kansas State Florida State Michigan State
12 LSU 13.25 12 Baylor Baylor LSU Oklahoma
13 Ohio State 13.75 13 Ohio State Ohio State Nebraska Arizona State
14 Oklahoma 14.25 14 Arizona Arizona State Georgia Baylor
15 Baylor 14.5 15 Arizona State Arizona Louisville Notre Dame
16 Arizona State 15 16 LSU Nebraska Miami Clemson
17 Nebraska 15.75 17 Nebraska LSU Kansas State Nebraska
18 Clemson 17 18 Utah Utah Arizona State Texas A&M
19 Arizona 19 19 Oklahoma East Carolina Notre Dame West Virginia
20 West Virginia 21.5 20 West Virginia Oklahoma Baylor Arizona
21 Utah 23 21 East Carolina Clemson Stanford Ohio State
22 Marshall 23.75 22 Clemson West Virginia Marshall UCLA
23 UCLA 24 23 Marshall Marshall USC Missouri
24 Duke 27 24 Duke Duke UCLA Utah
25 East Carolina 30.25 25 UCLA UCLA West Virginia USC


The four rankings we use:

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The Associated Press Top 25: The longest-running and best-respected human poll. Didn't have any official bearing on the latter years of the BCS, and won't have any official bearing on the Playoff. Expect it to set the course for the committee, however, as most outlets (including SB Nation) will use the AP's rankings as the standard until the committee takes over in late October. Usually comes out Sundays around 2 p.m. ET.

The USA Today Coaches Poll: Formerly part of the BCS, and now just a poll. It tends to be more conservative than the AP's. Though polling athletic departments in order to rank other athletic departments is dubious, we still want multiple human polls in here, and it's the other big one. Releases early Sunday afternoons.

The Massey Rating: An early-Sunday computer ranking. This is not the Massey formula the BCS used, which excluded margin of victory.

Football Outsiders' F/+ rating: A synthesis of ratings by smart persons Bill Connelly and Brian Fremeau and our personal go-to overall team stat. It tends to come out later than the others.

Last week's composite Top 25:

Composite Average AP Coaches F/+ Massey
1 Ole Miss 2 1 Mississippi State Mississippi State Ole Miss Ole Miss
2 Mississippi State 3 2 Florida State Florida State Oklahoma Alabama
3 Alabama 3.25 3 Ole Miss Ole Miss Alabama Auburn
4 Auburn 4.75 4 Alabama Alabama TCU Mississippi State
4 Florida State 4.75 5 Auburn Michigan State Auburn Florida State
6 Oregon 6.75 6 Oregon Auburn Mississippi State Georgia
7 TCU 8 7 Notre Dame Oregon Oregon Oregon
8 Georgia 8.25 8 Michigan State Notre Dame Ohio State TCU
9 Michigan State 10 9 Georgia Georgia Georgia Michigan State
10 Notre Dame 11.25 10 TCU TCU Florida State Kansas State
11 Oklahoma 12.25 11 Kansas State Kansas State Clemson Notre Dame
12 Ohio State 12.75 12 Baylor Ohio State UCLA Oklahoma
13 Baylor 13 13 Ohio State Baylor Arizona State Baylor
14 Kansas State 13.75 14 Arizona State Arizona State Baylor Clemson
15 Arizona State 14.25 15 Arizona Arizona Louisville LSU
16 Clemson 16.5 16 Nebraska Nebraska Marshall Arizona State
17 Nebraska 17.25 17 Oklahoma East Carolina Nebraska Texas A&M
18 Arizona 20.5 18 East Carolina Oklahoma Michigan State Ohio State
19 Utah 20.75 19 Utah Utah Notre Dame UCLA
20 UCLA 21 20 USC Clemson Virginia Tech Nebraska
20 USC 21 21 Clemson USC USC Missouri
22 Marshall 22 22 West Virginia Marshall West Virginia USC
23 LSU 22.25 23 Marshall LSU Kansas State Arizona
24 West Virginia 23.25 24 LSU Minnesota Duke West Virginia
25 East Carolina 26.5 25 UCLA West Virginia Georgia Tech Utah