The Alabama Crimson Tide are a perfect 15-0 SU in their last 15 games as a home favorite. With a win over Auburn as a home favorite this Saturday, the Crimson Tide could lock up the SEC West title.
Alabama is a 9.5-point favorite at home according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Crimson Tide are unlikely to drop this key game at home on Saturday, but Auburn is likely to go down fighting and could make for a live underdog at +9.5.
Odds Shark Computer Pick: Alabama 31.9, Auburn 26.6
At 10-1 SU, the Crimson Tide are one win away from securing a trip to the SEC Championship Game as the top team in the SEC West. But at just 2-8-1 ATS, the Crimson Tide have also been one of the worst bets in all of college football this season. Both of those covers did come at home where the Tide are 8-7 ATS over their last 15 games as a home favorite.
Alabama is 7-1 ATS in its last eight conference home games.
The Crimson Tide host Auburn at Bryant-Denny Stadium this Saturday at 7:45 p.m. ET.
Auburn bounced back nicely from its first loss of the season against Mississippi State with back-to-back wins over South Carolina and Ole Miss, staying firmly in the playoff picture with a 7-1 SU and 4-4 ATS record. But since then, the Tigers are just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS with a shocking home loss to Texas A&M and a blowout road loss to Georgia.
Auburn will need to be much better this week to play the role of spoiler in the Iron Bowl. Auburn is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games against Alabama.
Three of the last eight Iron Bowls have been Alabama blowouts by 28 points or more. The other five games were all decided by a touchdown or less and include four Auburn victories. Considering the fact that this game will be more important to Auburn than whatever bowl game it ends up going to, look for the Tigers to come out fired up as a 9.5-point underdog on the college football odds and make this a close game