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New College Football Playoff and bowl projections, where it's hard not to put Michigan up top

Here are some predictions for every bowl game, with Ohio State still lingering in the Playoff despite being the second best team in its division so far.

Hello, how are you? I'm fine, thank you. You're now reading a weekly list of guesses as to which college football teams will play in which bowl games at the end of the year. It's too early to do this, which is why it's guessing. Sounds fun!

The main thing this week: running very low on reasons to expect Ohio State in the College Football Playoff instead of Michigan. The Wolverines have plainly been better so far, and their potential Big Ten East championship meeting is in Ann Arbor.

Still leaning on OSU eventually becoming what a roster this loaded should be, and the Buckeyes did pull away to beat Maryland by 21 points despite following 2014 Florida State's Let A Bad Team Stay Pretty Close For A Long Time recipe to the letter again. But if Ohio State looks mediocre next week against Penn State as Michigan beats Michigan State, it might be time to see what a switch looks like.

For now, here are picks for every bowl game. You won't like them all, but we'll still be friends!

College Football Playoff
National Championship Alabama Ohio State January 11 Glendale, AZ Cotton winner vs. Orange winner
Cotton No. 2 Ohio State No. 3 Clemson December 31 Arlington, TX Playoff rankings top 4
Orange No. 1 Alabama No. 4 Baylor December 31 Miami Playoff rankings top 4

The rest of the Playoff holds steady this weekend. Alabama and Clemson outlasted disappointing rivals, while Baylor is sailing miles above of the rest of the Big 12, at very least until it starts playing OK teams.

Also next week, Baylor looks to avenge its only 2014 loss, against West Virginia. Bama gets top-10 Texas A&M, and Clemson tries to score like six points on Boston College's defense, which should be enough to win.

New Year's Six bowls
Fiesta Houston Utah January 1 Glendale, AZ At-large
Rose Michigan Stanford January 1 Pasadena, CA Big Ten 1 vs. Pac-12 1
Sugar TCU Texas A&M January 1 New Orleans Big 12 1 vs. SEC 1
Peach Florida State Notre Dame December 31 Atlanta At-large

Not really quite convinced the Utes will rank ahead of LSU or UCLA in the final Playoff rankings (which help determine these games), but it feels pretty good to put Utah in the sub-marquee group for now. Let's see how LSU looks once the bulk of its schedule finally arrives and let's see how the Bruins bounce back from a two-score loss to Arizona State.

I realize this is talking up Michigan's postseason chances while running down the team to which it's lost (as if a Fiesta Bowl is bad), but life is long and hard. Also the Utes currently have a negative yards-per-play differential, ranking No. 63 in the country against FBS opponents there.

The upset-surviving TCU takes over for non-survivor Oklahoma.

Otherwise, Week 6 affirmed pretty much everything in this bunch.

Bowl (* = filling another conference's bid) Conferences ties, not based on standings
Alamo Oklahoma UCLA January 2 San Antonio Big 12 2 vs. Pac-12 2
Cactus West Virginia Arizona January 2 Tempe, AZ Big 12 6 vs. Pac-12 7
Liberty Kansas State Georgia January 2 Memphis Big 12 5 vs. SEC 3-8
TaxSlayer Penn State Kentucky January 2 Jacksonville, FL ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8
Citrus Michigan State Florida January 1 Orlando Big Ten 2-4 vs. SEC 2
Outback Iowa Ole Miss January 1 Tampa Big Ten 2-4 vs. SEC 3-8
Belk Duke Tennessee December 30 Charlotte ACC 3-6 vs. SEC 3-8
Birmingham Memphis Arkansas December 30 Birmingham, AL American vs. SEC 9
Holiday Wisconsin USC December 30 San Diego Big Ten 2-4 vs. Pac-12 3
Music City Louisville Mississippi State December 30 Nashville ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8
Arizona Rice Utah State December 29 Tucson C-USA vs. MWC
Armed Forces Indiana Air Force December 29 Fort Worth, TX Big Ten vs. MWC
Russell Athletic North Carolina Oklahoma State December 29 Orlando ACC 2 vs. Big 12 3
Texas Texas LSU December 29 Houston Big 12 4 vs. SEC 3-8
Military Virginia Tech Navy December 28 Annapolis, MD ACC vs. American
Quick Lane Miami Minnesota December 28 Detroit ACC vs. Big Ten
Foster Farms Nebraska Arizona State December 26 Santa Clara, CA Big Ten 5-7 vs. Pac-12 4
Heart of Dallas Texas Tech Marshall December 26 Dallas Big 12 7 vs. C-USA
Independence San Jose State* Missouri December 26 Shreveport, LA ACC vs. SEC (C-USA backup)
Pinstripe Pitt Northwestern December 26 New York City ACC 3-6 vs. Big Ten 5-7
St. Petersburg Akron* Middle Tennessee December 26 St. Petersburg, FL American vs. C-USA
Sun NC State Cal December 26 El Paso ACC 3-6 vs. Pac-12 5
Bahamas Old Dominion Ohio December 24 Nassau, BS C-USA vs. MAC 4/5
Hawaii Temple BYU December 24 Honolulu American vs. MWC/BYU
GoDaddy Toledo Georgia Southern December 23 Mobile, AL MAC 1 vs. Sun Belt 2
Poinsettia San Diego State Illinois* December 23 San Diego MWC vs. Army
Boca Raton East Carolina Northern Illinois December 22 Boca Raton, FL American vs. MAC
Potato Bowling Green Colorado State December 22 Boise, ID MAC 2 vs. MWC
Miami Beach Cincinnati Western Kentucky December 21 Miami American vs. C-USA
Camelia Western Michigan Arkansas State December 19 Montgomery, AL MAC 3 vs. Sun Belt 3
Cure Tulane South Alabama December 19 Orlando American vs. Sun Belt
Las Vegas Boise State Oregon December 19 Las Vegas MWC 1/BYU vs. Pac-12 6
New Mexico Southern Miss New Mexico December 19 Albuquerque C-USA vs. MWC
New Orleans Appalachian State Louisiana Tech December 19 New Orleans Sun Belt 1 vs. C-USA

Leaving us this week Boston College and Georgia Tech, who combined for roughly 17 yards on Saturday (not looking this up). Joining us: Texas and Akron, just the latest thing Texas and Akron have in common.

The weekly apology for not finding Leonard Fournette a better bowl is here.

Arizona fans, your spot is unfair, but the easy travel, good matchup and attention paid to Rich Rodriguez against the school that sued him would make up for it, right?


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SB Nation presents: No one wants to face Michigan