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Full College Football Playoff and bowl projections, now with much more Baylor confidence

Below, picks for every bowl game, from the National Championship to the New Orleans.

Baylor spent the first month or so of the season dribbling circles around hapless nitwits, in its infinite wisdom. The Bears rose to No. 2 in the AP Poll thanks to their strategy of trying not to play teams against which it's possible to look bad. They also established a weekly spot in this space, where you'll find predictions on how the bowl games will shape up at the end of the season.

Now that Baylor's finally played somebody (apologies, Texas Tech), it's easy to say the Bears have as good a shot at the Playoff as anybody. Baylor so riddled the banged-up Mountaineers that WVU's defensive coordinator said he would've needed 14 men on the field to do anything about it.

Three tough road games remain, plus Oklahoma at home. That's not easy, but that's also Baylor's chance to firm up a resume that so far is mostly just a bunch of cartoon explosions, which is very unprofessional.

Also, last week's threatened ascent of Michigan over Ohio State is called off for now. Michigan's loss to Michigan State means there's a chance the Wolverines wouldn't win the Big Ten East even with a win over OSU. Plus, Michigan got outgained by 156 yards Saturday, meaning we can think of the result as something like a gauge of team quality and not just a total fluke. That, and the Buckeyes looked solid against Penn State.

College Football Playoff
National Championship Alabama Ohio State January 11 Glendale, AZ Cotton winner vs. Orange winner
Cotton No. 2 Ohio State No. 3 Clemson December 31 Arlington, TX Playoff rankings top 4
Orange No. 1 Alabama No. 4 Baylor December 31 Miami Playoff rankings top 4

The other two remain, with Bama winning its toughest remaining road game on paper (on-paper does not apply to the Iron Bowl) and Clemson putting 34 points on a Boston College defense among the country's 10 best.

New Year's Six bowls
Fiesta Notre Dame Utah January 1 Glendale, AZ At-large
Rose Michigan State Stanford January 1 Pasadena, CA Big Ten 1 vs. Pac-12 1
Sugar TCU LSU January 1 New Orleans Big 12 1 vs. SEC 1
Peach Florida State Houston December 31 Atlanta At-large

The American took a big step toward claiming the designated non-power spot, with Memphis beating Ole Miss as the Mountain West's last hope, Boise State, got destroyed by Utah State. You could put about a third of the AAC in here, but I'm sticking with Houston, whose only road opponents left are miserable UCF and mediocre UConn.

Oh hey, Spartans, back in the Rose.

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Texas A&M leaves the Sugar Bowl spot, but only in part due to being blown out. Alabama won 41-23, with 21 of its points coming on interception returns. That suggests A&M would be much closer if they were to play again. Either way, LSU is the SEC's last unbeaten and hosts the Aggies, with its trip to Ole Miss looking less worrisome for some reason, so let's see how the Tigers look in this spot.

Plus, moving A&M down gives us ...

Bowl (* = filling another conference's bid) Conferences ties, not based on standings
Alamo Oklahoma UCLA January 2 San Antonio Big 12 2 vs. Pac-12 2
Cactus Texas Tech Arizona January 2 Tempe, AZ Big 12 6 vs. Pac-12 7
Liberty Oklahoma State Georgia January 2 Memphis Big 12 5 vs. SEC 3-8
TaxSlayer Penn State Kentucky January 2 Jacksonville, FL ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8
Citrus Michigan Florida January 1 Orlando Big Ten 2-4 vs. SEC 2
Outback Iowa Ole Miss January 1 Tampa Big Ten 2-4 vs. SEC 3-8
Belk Duke Tennessee December 30 Charlotte ACC 3-6 vs. SEC 3-8
Birmingham Memphis Arkansas December 30 Birmingham, AL American vs. SEC 9
Holiday Wisconsin USC December 30 San Diego Big Ten 2-4 vs. Pac-12 3
Music City Louisville Mississippi State December 30 Nashville ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8
Arizona Rice Utah State December 29 Tucson C-USA vs. MWC
Armed Forces Minnesota Air Force December 29 Fort Worth, TX Big Ten vs. MWC
Russell Athletic Pitt West Virginia December 29 Orlando ACC 2 vs. Big 12 3
Texas Texas Texas A&M December 29 Houston Big 12 4 vs. SEC 3-8
Military Virginia Tech Navy December 28 Annapolis, MD ACC vs. American
Quick Lane Boston College Illinois December 28 Detroit ACC vs. Big Ten
Foster Farms Nebraska Arizona State December 26 Santa Clara, CA Big Ten 5-7 vs. Pac-12 4
Heart of Dallas Kansas State Marshall December 26 Dallas Big 12 7 vs. C-USA
Independence Louisiana-Lafeyette* Missouri December 26 Shreveport, LA ACC vs. SEC (C-USA backup)
Pinstripe North Carolina Northwestern December 26 New York City ACC 3-6 vs. Big Ten 5-7
St. Petersburg Buffalo Middle Tennessee December 26 St. Petersburg, FL American vs. C-USA
Sun NC State Cal December 26 El Paso ACC 3-6 vs. Pac-12 5
Bahamas Old Dominion Ohio December 24 Nassau, BS C-USA vs. MAC 4/5
Hawaii San Jose State* BYU December 24 Honolulu American vs. MWC/BYU
GoDaddy Toledo Georgia Southern December 23 Mobile, AL MAC 1 vs. Sun Belt 2
Poinsettia San Diego State Akron December 23 San Diego MWC vs. Army
Boca Raton Temple Northern Illinois December 22 Boca Raton, FL American vs. MAC
Potato Bowling Green Colorado State December 22 Boise, ID MAC 2 vs. MWC
Miami Beach Cincinnati Western Kentucky December 21 Miami American vs. C-USA
Camelia Western Michigan Arkansas State December 19 Montgomery, AL MAC 3 vs. Sun Belt 3
Cure East Carolina South Alabama December 19 Orlando American vs. Sun Belt
Las Vegas Boise State Oregon December 19 Las Vegas MWC 1/BYU vs. Pac-12 6
New Mexico Southern Miss New Mexico December 19 Albuquerque C-USA vs. MWC
New Orleans Appalachian State Louisiana Tech December 19 New Orleans Sun Belt 1 vs. C-USA

Texas is kind of unlikely to make a bowl right now, but I can believe whatever I want, and so can you! That would also come right after a Backyard Brawl in Orlando, which would not be the first event of that name in the Orlando area.

Boise State did lose to Utah State by many points, yes, but the standings should turn out fine. USU has a couple tricky road games, and BSU's been the better team (or at least as good) in all but one weekend.

Leaving us: Indiana, which lost to Rutgers. Joining us: Boston College, which bounces in and out weekly.


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SB Nation presents: The wild final play between Michigan and Michigan State