How are you today?
Good, I hope. I bet your team did fine on Saturday, but if it didn't, I bet it will do fine next Saturday.
With that in mind, I'd like to offer you some updated bowl projections. I do this every week, you see, adjusting things as we learn a little bit more about each team. This all might seem like wild overreaction, but that's OK, because sometimes it's fun to look ahead and think about sports games that might happen.
Both of the top rungs get changes this time around, but not really any tied to the biggest games from Saturday, Michigan State over Oregon or Oklahoma over Tennessee. Neither result was that big of a surprise, although the way the Vols fought does earn them a reassessment. BYU beating Boise State does shake things, begrudgingly.
So, hope you have a nice Sunday! If not, well, we'll try all this again next week.
|College Football Playoff|
|National Championship||Ohio State||Alabama||January 11||Glendale, AZ||Cotton winner vs. Orange winner|
|Cotton||No. 2 Alabama||No.3 UCLA||December 31||Arlington, TX||Playoff rankings top 4|
|Orange||No. 1 Ohio State||No. 4 TCU||December 31||Miami, FL||Playoff rankings top 4|
The Bruins join the top circle after an easy win at UNLV, perhaps boosted by Week 1 victim Virginia nearly beating Notre Dame. I'd pegged the Ducks to lose at Michigan State and had them in the Playoff anyway, so I'm not too worried about Oregon bouncing back. But let's try out UCLA up here for a while and see how it feels. How does it feel? I'm nervous.
|New Year's Six bowls|
|Fiesta||Houston||Notre Dame||January 1||Glendale, AZ||At-large|
|Rose||Michigan State||Oregon||January 1||Pasadena, CA||Big Ten 1 vs. Pac-12 1|
|Sugar||Baylor||Ole Miss||January 1||New Orleans, LA||Big 12 1 vs. SEC 1|
|Peach||Georgia Tech||Texas A&M||December 31||Atlanta, GA||At-large|
Moving up: Georgia Tech, for no gigantic reason. Well, new Florida State QB Everett Golson looked shaky against USF, while the Jackets scored 65 points against an OK Tulane defense, so that's a reason. Picking the ACC winner is very hard.
Moving down: Notre Dame, which lost starting QB Malik Zaire for the season. These two movers play each other in six days, FWIW.
Elsewhere, if you wave a bigass Texas flag and set it to Future after upsetting Louisville, you get bumped up to the non-power autobid. Those are the rules, and Houston has followed them.
Really, I wouldn't mind keeping Boise State here despite a Hail Mary loss at the immortal BYU, since almost every other non-power either already has a loss or has a likely one inbound soon. That makes UH an interesting case; what's the Cougars' toughest game left? At UCF, which started 0-2? Hosting a fellow pretty good AAC team? Navy on a short week seems gross, but otherwise, there's nothing super scary. The Mountain West going 0-11 out-of-conference this week also hurts Boise's chances a bit.
|Bowl||Conferences ties, not based on standings|
|Alamo||Oklahoma||USC||January 2||San Antonio, TX||Big 12 2 vs. Pac-12 2|
|Cactus||Oklahoma State||Stanford||January 2||Tempe, AZ||Big 12 6 vs. Pac-12 7|
|Liberty||Texas||LSU||January 2||Memphis, TN||Big 12 5 vs. SEC 3-8|
|TaxSlayer||Minnesota||Arkansas||January 2||Jacksonville, FL||ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8|
|Citrus||Michigan||Georgia||January 1||Orlando, FL||Big Ten 2-4 vs. SEC 2|
|Outback||Nebraska||Tennessee||January 1||Tampa, FL||Big Ten 2-4 vs. SEC 3-8|
|Belk||Clemson||Florida||December 30||Charlotte, NC||ACC 3-6 vs. SEC 3-8|
|Birmingham||Memphis||Kentucky||December 30||Birmingham, AL||American vs. SEC 9|
|Holiday||Wisconsin||Arizona State||December 30||San Diego, CA||Big Ten 2-4 vs. Pac-12 3|
|Music City||Virginia Tech||Auburn||December 30||Nashville, TN||ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8|
|Armed Forces||Penn State||Air Force||December 29||Fort Worth, TX||Big Ten vs. MWC|
|Russell Athletic||Florida State||West Virginia||December 29||Orlando, FL||ACC 2 vs. Big 12 3|
|Texas||Kansas State||Missouri||December 29||Houston, TX||Big 12 4 vs. SEC 3-8|
|Military||North Carolina||Navy||December 28||Annapolis, MD||ACC vs. American|
|Quick Lane||Pitt||Ball State||December 28||Detroit, MI||ACC vs. Big Ten|
|Foster Farms||Iowa||Cal||December 26||Santa Clara, CA||Big Ten 5-7 vs. Pac-12 4|
|Heart of Dallas||Miami||Marshall||December 26||Dallas, TX||Big 12 7 vs. C-USA|
|Independence||Duke||Mississippi State||December 26||Shreveport, LA||ACC vs. SEC (C-USA backup)|
|Pinstripe||Louisville||Northwestern||December 26||New York, NY||ACC 3-6 vs. Big Ten 5-7|
|St. Petersburg||East Carolina||Old Dominion||December 26||St. Petersburg, FL||American vs. C-USA|
|Sun||NC State||Arizona||December 26||El Paso, TX||ACC 3-6 vs. Pac-12 5|
|Bahamas||Rice||Ohio||December 24||Nassau, BS||C-USA vs. MAC 4/5|
|Hawaii||Temple||BYU||December 24||Honolulu, HI||American vs. MWC/BYU|
|GoDaddy||Toledo||Georgia Southern||December 23||Mobile, AL||MAC 1 vs. Sun Belt 2|
|Poinsettia||San Diego State||Texas State||December 23||San Diego, CA||MWC vs. Army|
|Boca Raton||UCF||Western Michigan||December 22||Boca Raton, FL||American vs. MAC|
|Potato||Bowling Green||Colorado State||December 22||Boise, ID||MAC 2 vs. MWC|
|Miami Beach||Cincinnati||Western Kentucky||December 21||Miami, FL||American vs. C-USA|
|Camelia||Northern Illinois||Appalachian State||December 19||Montgomery, AL||MAC 3 vs. Sun Belt 3|
|Cure||Tulane||Louisiana-Lafayette||December 19||Orlando, FL||American vs. Sun Belt|
|Las Vegas||Boise State||Utah||December 19||Las Vegas, NV||MWC 1/BYU vs. Pac-12 6|
|New Mexico||UTEP||Utah State||December 19||Albuquerque, NM||C-USA vs. MWC|
|New Orleans||Arkansas State||Louisiana Tech||December 19||New Orleans, LA||Sun Belt 1 vs. C-USA|
Leaving us since last week: New Mexico and South Carolina.
Joining us: Tulane, with Houston's ascent freeing up an AAC spot, and Kentucky, which beat South Carolina.
Moving around: Toledo up! Tennessee up-ish! Auburn down-ish! Some other stuff!