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New 2016 bowl projections: 3 of 4 College Football Playoff teams face huge games next

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Let's pick who'll play in every bowl game, Playoff and all. We do this every week, so play along!

Leon Halip/Getty Images

Well, another week of college football happened, so let's update some stuff. It's still TOO EARLY to be looking at how 2016's bowl games might play out, I'm about to be reminded, but it was even earlier a couple weeks ago, and they didn't stop me then!

Conference play is underway now, which is always helpful. Most bowl games are set up with conference ties, so getting a small sense for those pecking orders always feels like especially useful information.

Plenty of projected games change this week, but the Playoff remains the same for now. Three of these four Playoff teams could change next week, though! Week 5's Louisville-Clemson will decide one spot in there, for a while at least. Maybe the same for Week 5's Washington-Stanford. Michigan's got a tough game in Week 5 too, actually, at home against Wisconsin.

Here are updated projections for all 41 games.

College Football Playoff
Fiesta
Dec. 31, Glendale, AZ
Louisville Michigan Playoff rankings top 4
Peach
Dec. 31, Atlanta
Alabama Stanford Playoff rankings top 4
National Championship
Jan. 9, Tampa
Alabama Michigan Fiesta winner vs. Peach winner

Also, Michigan over Ohio State is looking slightly better than it did last week, when I noted it was basically a coin flip choice, to no avail. Folks were upset! I'll repeat OSU could just as easily be in here and will not use a Sharpie at this time.

New Year's Six bowls
Cotton
Jan. 2, Arlington, TX
Houston Clemson At-large
Rose
Jan. 2, Pasadena, CA
Ohio State Washington Big Ten 1 vs. Pac-12 1
Sugar
Jan. 2, New Orleans
Oklahoma Ole Miss Big 12 1 vs. SEC 1
Orange
Dec. 30, Miami
Florida State Tennessee ACC vs. Big Ten/SEC/ND

Clemson, FSU, Ole Miss, and Tennessee all looked like they should in Week 4, after varying degrees of shakiness earlier.

The only change in this group this week: Oklahoma in for Baylor. I like OU's schedule better, among other things.

Bowl (* = filling another conference's bid) Conference selection order, not based on standings
Outback
Jan. 2, Tampa
Wisconsin Florida Big Ten 2-4 vs. SEC 3-8
Citrus
Dec. 31, Orlando
Nebraska Texas A&M Big Ten 2-4/ACC vs. SEC 2
TaxSlayer
Dec. 31, Jacksonville
Georgia Tech Missouri ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8
Music City
Dec. 30, Nashville
Penn State Auburn ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8
Liberty
Dec. 30, Memphis
Oklahoma State LSU Big 12 5 vs. SEC 3-8
Sun
Dec. 30, El Paso, TX
North Carolina Arizona State ACC 3-6 vs. Pac-12 5
Arizona
Dec. 30, Tucson
Utah State Georgia Southern MWC vs. Sun Belt
Alamo
Dec. 29, San Antonio
Texas Utah Big 12 2 vs. Pac-12 2
Belk
Dec. 29, Charlotte
Virginia Tech Georgia ACC 3-6 vs. SEC 3-8
Birmingham
Dec. 29
Temple Army* American vs. SEC 9
Foster Farms
Dec. 28, Santa Clara, CA
Iowa Oregon Big Ten 5-7 vs. Pac-12 4
Pinstripe
Dec. 28, New York City
Pitt Maryland ACC 3-6 vs. Big Ten 5-7
Russell Athletic
Dec. 28, Orlando
Miami TCU ACC 2 vs. Big 12 3
Texas
Dec. 28, Houston
Baylor Arkansas Big 12 4 vs. SEC 3-8
Cactus
Dec. 27, Tempe, AZ
Texas Tech USC Big 12 6 vs. Pac-12 7
Heart of Dallas
Dec. 27
Minnesota WKU Big Ten vs. C-USA
Holiday
Dec. 27, San Diego
Michigan State UCLA Big Ten 2-4 vs. Pac-12 3
Military
Dec. 27, Annapolis, MD
Notre Dame USF ACC vs. American
Independence
Dec. 26, Shreveport, LA
Kansas State* Washington State* ACC vs. SEC
St. Petersburg
Dec. 26
Wake Forest Cincinnati ACC vs. American
Quick Lane
Dec. 26, Detroit, MI
Arizona* Indiana ACC vs. Big Ten
Hawaii
Dec. 24, Honolulu
MTSU Colorado State C-USA vs. MWC
Dollar General
Dec. 23, Mobile, AL
WMU South Alabama MAC 1 vs. Sun Belt 2
Armed Forces
Dec. 23, Fort Worth, TX
West Virginia Navy Big 12 vs. Navy
Bahamas
Dec. 23, Nassau
Tulsa Akron American vs. MAC
Potato
Dec. 22, Boise, ID
CMU Air Force MAC 2 vs. MWC
Poinsettia
Dec. 21, San Diego
BYU San Diego State BYU vs. MWC
Boca Raton
Dec. 20
Memphis Southern Miss American vs. C-USA
Miami Beach
Dec. 19
UConn Ohio American vs. MAC
Las Vegas
Dec. 17
Boise State Colorado MWC 1 vs. Pac-12 6
Camelia
Dec. 17, Montgomery, AL
Toledo Troy MAC 3 vs. Sun Belt 3
Cure
Dec. 17, Orlando
Idaho* UL Lafayette American vs. Sun Belt
New Mexico
Dec. 17, Albuquerque
Marshall New Mexico C-USA vs. MWC
New Orleans
Dec. 17
Appalachian State LA Tech Sun Belt 1 vs. C-USA

Lots of changes throughout in this bunch.

As always, I apologize for the Pac-12. It's a very hard system to work with, because it's so rigid. The conference should either add more bowls or give itself power and flexibility to distribute teams in groups, like the Big Ten and SEC do.

What do you think?

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