The Alabama Crimson Tide are 21-1 straight up and 11-11 against the spread in their last 22 games at home. The Crimson Tide have covered the spread in each of their last two games at home, and will look to do so again on Saturday hosting the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.
Alabama is listed as a 30-point favorite at Bryant-Denny Stadium at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The line has moved a full six points from its opening position of Alabama -24.
The Crimson Tide may be largely responsible for the big line movement after the way they played against the USC Trojans. The 46 points that Alabama defeated USC by in Saturday's 52-6 win was the largest margin of victory the Crimson Tide have had against a Top 20 ranked team since 1953 and was the third highest in the team's history.
Both quarterbacks showed good signs running the offense, and the defense looks poised to be one of the nation's best as it has consistently been under Nick Saban.
Since the start of the 2014 season, Alabama is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite of 20 points per more per the OddsShark College Football Database.
Betting Line / Total: Alabama -29 / 61.5 Points
Trend: Alabama is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games at home.
Trend: Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last five games after a win.
Western Kentucky's Brandon Doughty led the nation last season in both passing yards (5,055) and touchdown passes (48) while leading the Hilltoppers to a 12-2 SU and 9-4-1 ATS campaign. Junior quarterback Mike White had no trouble keeping the passing game going against Rice last Saturday, racking up 517 passing yards and three touchdown passes with an 80.6 completion percentage en route to a 46-14 win.
The Hilltoppers are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS over their last seven games, averaging 48.3 points per game over that stretch.
Saturday's total is set at 61.5 points. The OVER is 4-0 in Western Kentucky's last four games on the road.
WKU isn't just another small conference cupcake on the schedule. The offense will obviously not produce at its normal rate against Alabama's elite defense, but if the Crimson Tide are looking forward to next week's game at Ole Miss, the Hilltoppers could keep this one closer than the spread indicates.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
When: Saturday, September 10, 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama