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College football’s over/under bets for the 2017 regular season are starting to trickle out. The teams pegged with the highest totals: Alabama and Ohio State , all at 10.5 wins.
Here’s the list of what’s out, from BetOnline via OddsShark. This release includes the majority of the teams in the power conferences:
College football win totals, 2017
| Team | Total | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Total | Over | Under |
| Alabama | 10.5 | -260 | +200 |
| Ohio State | 10.5 | -205 | +165 |
| Oklahoma | 9.5 | -155 | +125 |
| USC | 9.5 | -150 | +120 |
| Florida State | 9.5 | -140 | +110 |
| Wisconsin | 9.5 | -135 | +105 |
| Washington | 9.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Penn State | 9.5 | +105 | -135 |
| Louisville | 9 | -130 | +100 |
| LSU | 9 | -130 | +100 |
| Clemson | 9 | -115 | -115 |
| Virginia Tech | 9 | -115 | -115 |
| Michigan | 9 | -115 | -115 |
| Stanford | 8.5 | +110 | -140 |
| Miami | 8.5 | +100 | -130 |
| Florida | 8 | -115 | -115 |
| Georgia | 8 | -115 | -115 |
| Auburn | 8 | -115 | -115 |
| Oregon | 8 | -115 | -115 |
| Tennessee | 7.5 | +110 | -140 |
| Colorado | 7.5 | +105 | -135 |
| Kansas State | 7.5 | +105 | -135 |
| Texas | 7.5 | +100 | -130 |
| Washington State | 7.5 | -135 | +105 |
| NC State | 7.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Pitt | 7.5 | -115 | -115 |
| TCU | 7 | -135 | +105 |
| West Virginia | 7 | -130 | +100 |
| Arkansas | 7 | -115 | -115 |
| North Carolina | 7 | -115 | -115 |
| Northwestern | 7 | -115 | -115 |
| Texas A&M | 7 | -115 | -115 |
| Iowa | 6.5 | +100 | -130 |
| Michigan State | 6.5 | +100 | -140 |
| Missouri | 6.5 | -130 | +100 |
| Utah | 6.5 | -130 | +100 |
| Georgia Tech | 6.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Texas Tech | 6 | +100 | -130 |
| UCLA | 6 | -145 | +115 |
| Kentucky | 6 | -140 | +110 |
| Nebraska | 6 | -135 | +105 |
| South Carolina | 5.5 | +105 | -135 |
| Arizona | 5.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Duke | 5.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Indiana | 5.5 | -115 | -115 |
| Mississippi State | 5.5 | -115 | -115 |
The money line on an “over” get for Alabama is -260, meaning Las Vegas thinks it’s pretty likely the Tide get to at least 11 wins. To win $100 betting over on the Tide, you’d need to put down $260. The over line for Ohio State is -205. No one else has a total of 10 or above.
Clemson’s at 9.0 a season after winning the national championship. That suggests oddsmakers aren’t sold on the Tigers without their cornerstone QB, Deshaun Watson. An even total of nine wins would make for a push, but I’d be pretty stunned if Clemson didn’t win at least nine games. It seems like it’d be hard to lose money on that bet.
LSU’s also at an even 9.0, while Georgia, Florida, and Auburn are at 8.0. The oddsmakers don’t think anyone in the SEC is on Alabama’s level, and they’re probably correct.
A couple bets that seem good to me:
- The over on Oklahoma (9.5). The Sooners won’t win every game they play, but they look like sizable favorites in 11 out of 12, the lone exception an early visit to Ohio State. It’d be pretty surprising if Bob Stoops’ bunch didn’t win at least 10 games. A -155 line is steep, but the path to double digits is not paved with danger.
- The over on Texas A&M (7.0). The Aggies don’t have a clear quarterback solution, and they’re disappointing, and they’ve just lost Myles Garrett, and Kevin Sumlin’s probably on the hot seat. I get it. But this is still a program that’s recruited well, and it’s not like the non-Alabama SEC is a murderers’ row at the moment. To lose here, A&M would have to go 6-6. That’s unlikely. Bet on the over, and accept the possibility that you’ll push. It is not likely that A&M goes 6-6.