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Which teams will win the most college football games in 2017?

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The oddsmakers rank Alabama and Ohio State atop the Power 5.

SEC Championship - Alabama v Florida Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

College football’s over/under bets for the 2017 regular season are starting to trickle out. The teams pegged with the highest totals: Alabama and Ohio State , all at 10.5 wins.

Here’s the list of what’s out, from BetOnline via OddsShark. This release includes the majority of the teams in the power conferences:

College football win totals, 2017

Team Total Over Under
Team Total Over Under
Alabama 10.5 -260 +200
Ohio State 10.5 -205 +165
Oklahoma 9.5 -155 +125
USC 9.5 -150 +120
Florida State 9.5 -140 +110
Wisconsin 9.5 -135 +105
Washington 9.5 -115 -115
Penn State 9.5 +105 -135
Louisville 9 -130 +100
LSU 9 -130 +100
Clemson 9 -115 -115
Virginia Tech 9 -115 -115
Michigan 9 -115 -115
Stanford 8.5 +110 -140
Miami 8.5 +100 -130
Florida 8 -115 -115
Georgia 8 -115 -115
Auburn 8 -115 -115
Oregon 8 -115 -115
Tennessee 7.5 +110 -140
Colorado 7.5 +105 -135
Kansas State 7.5 +105 -135
Texas 7.5 +100 -130
Washington State 7.5 -135 +105
NC State 7.5 -115 -115
Pitt 7.5 -115 -115
TCU 7 -135 +105
West Virginia 7 -130 +100
Arkansas 7 -115 -115
North Carolina 7 -115 -115
Northwestern 7 -115 -115
Texas A&M 7 -115 -115
Iowa 6.5 +100 -130
Michigan State 6.5 +100 -140
Missouri 6.5 -130 +100
Utah 6.5 -130 +100
Georgia Tech 6.5 -115 -115
Texas Tech 6 +100 -130
UCLA 6 -145 +115
Kentucky 6 -140 +110
Nebraska 6 -135 +105
South Carolina 5.5 +105 -135
Arizona 5.5 -115 -115
Duke 5.5 -115 -115
Indiana 5.5 -115 -115
Mississippi State 5.5 -115 -115
BetOnline via Odds Shark

The money line on an “over” get for Alabama is -260, meaning Las Vegas thinks it’s pretty likely the Tide get to at least 11 wins. To win $100 betting over on the Tide, you’d need to put down $260. The over line for Ohio State is -205. No one else has a total of 10 or above.

Clemson’s at 9.0 a season after winning the national championship. That suggests oddsmakers aren’t sold on the Tigers without their cornerstone QB, Deshaun Watson. An even total of nine wins would make for a push, but I’d be pretty stunned if Clemson didn’t win at least nine games. It seems like it’d be hard to lose money on that bet.

LSU’s also at an even 9.0, while Georgia, Florida, and Auburn are at 8.0. The oddsmakers don’t think anyone in the SEC is on Alabama’s level, and they’re probably correct.

A couple bets that seem good to me:

  • The over on Oklahoma (9.5). The Sooners won’t win every game they play, but they look like sizable favorites in 11 out of 12, the lone exception an early visit to Ohio State. It’d be pretty surprising if Bob Stoops’ bunch didn’t win at least 10 games. A -155 line is steep, but the path to double digits is not paved with danger.
  • The over on Texas A&M (7.0). The Aggies don’t have a clear quarterback solution, and they’re disappointing, and they’ve just lost Myles Garrett, and Kevin Sumlin’s probably on the hot seat. I get it. But this is still a program that’s recruited well, and it’s not like the non-Alabama SEC is a murderers’ row at the moment. To lose here, A&M would have to go 6-6. That’s unlikely. Bet on the over, and accept the possibility that you’ll push. It is not likely that A&M goes 6-6.