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How the 2017 college football season will go if Vegas is right about everything

Predicted (so to speak) conference standings, Playoff teams, and more.

All State Sugar Bowl - Alabama v Ohio State Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images

We now have win total over/unders for all 130 FBS teams in 2017, via South Point Sportsbook. This is the number of regular season wins you can bet on each team exceeding or falling short of, meaning these numbers are good gauges of national expectations for everybody.

The whole list is grouped by conference below, but if all this turned out as presented to bettors, the highlights would be something like this (though keep in mind Vegas doesn’t distinguish between conference wins and total wins):

  • Conference title games: Clemson/FSU vs. Miami, Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State, Ohio State vs. Wisconsin, Washington vs. USC, Georgia vs. Alabama, USF vs. Houston, Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech, Miami (Ohio) vs. Western Michigan, and Boise State vs. San Diego State.
  • Assuming no surprises among those, the Playoff would have Alabama and Ohio State as the top two seeds, USC or Washington at No. 3, and Oklahoma at No. 4.
  • The ACC would be the excluded Power 5 for the first time.
  • USF appears to be the New Year’s Six favorite among mid-majors. BYU isn’t eligible for a NY6 bowl auto bid, but can make it if it ranks in the top 10 or so.
  • Odds elsewhere have USC QB Sam Darnold as the Heisman favorite, with Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield, Louisville QB Lamar Jackson, and Ohio State QB J.T. Barrett next.
  • We’ve also used similar numbers to guess which coaches will be fired, foreseeing clear trouble for Butch Jones, Kliff Kingsbury, Jim Mora, and Kevin Sumlin.

Here’s everything. Ties went to the teams given better sportsbook odds of beating their over/unders.

2017 college football standings, based on win total over/unders

Team Rank Win total over/under
Team Rank Win total over/under
ACC Atlantic Rank Win total over/under
Clemson 1 (tie) 9.5
FSU 1 (tie) 9.5
Louisville 3 9.5
NC State 4 6.5
Wake Forest 5 5.5
Syracuse 6 4
Boston College 7 4
ACC Coastal Rank Win total over/under
Miami 1 9
Virginia Tech 2 8.5
North Carolina 3 7
Pitt 4 6.5
Georgia Tech 5 6
Virginia 6 5.5
Duke 7 4.5
Big 12 Rank Win total over/under
Oklahoma 1 10
Oklahoma State 2 9
Baylor 3 (tie) 8
TCU 3 (tie) 8
Texas 5 7.5
Kansas State 6 7.5
West Virginia 7 6
Iowa State 8 5.5
Texas Tech 9 4.5
Kansas 10 2.5
Big Ten East Rank Win total over/under
Ohio State 1 10.5
Penn State 2 10
Michigan 3 8.5
Indiana 4 6.5
Michigan State 5 5
Rutgers 6 3
Maryland 7 3
Big Ten West Rank Win total over/under
Wisconsin 1 10.5
Northwestern 2 8.5
Minnesota 3 7.5
Nebraska 4 7
Iowa 5 7
Illinois 6 3.5
Purdue 7 2.5
Pac-12 North Rank Win total over/under
Washington 1 10
Stanford 2 9
Oregon 3 7.5
Washington State 4 7
Oregon State 5 5.5
Cal 6 3.5
Pac-12 South Rank Win total over/under
USC 1 10
Colorado 2 7.5
UCLA 3 7
Utah 4 5.5
Arizona State 5 5
Arizona 6 4.5
SEC East Rank Win total over/under
Georgia 1 9
Florida 2 8
Tennessee 3 7.5
Kentucky 4 7
Vanderbilt 5 6
Missouri 6 6
South Carolina 7 5
SEC West Rank Win total over/under
Alabama 1 10.5
Auburn 2 (tie) 9
LSU 2 (tie) 9
Texas A&M 4 7.5
Arkansas 5 6
Ole Miss 6 5.5
Mississippi State 7 5
AAC East Rank Win total over/under
USF 1 10
UCF 2 7.5
Temple 3 7
Cincinnati 4 5
UConn 5 4
East Carolina 6 2.5
AAC West Rank Win total over/under
Houston 1 8.5
Memphis 2 8.5
Tulsa 3 7.5
Navy 4 7
SMU 5 5
Tulane 6 4.5
Independents Rank Win total over/under
BYU idk 10
Army lol 8
Notre Dame brb 7.5
UMass gtg 2.5
C-USA East Rank Win total over/under
WKU 1 9.5
MTSU 2 7.5
Old Dominion 3 6.5
Marshall 4 5
FIU 5 4.5
FAU 6 4
Charlotte 7 4
C-USA West Rank Win total over/under
Louisiana Tech 1 9
Southern Miss 2 7.5
UTSA 3 6.5
North Texas 4 4
Rice 5 3.5
UAB 6 2.5
UTEP 7 2.5
MAC East Rank Win total over/under
Miami (OH) 1 8
Ohio 2 7.5
Akron 3 5.5
Bowling Green 4 4
Kent State 5 3.5
Buffalo 6 3.5
MAC West Rank Win total over/under
WMU 1 9
Toledo 2 8.5
CMU 3 7
NIU 4 6
EMU 5 4.5
Ball State 6 4
MWC Mountain Rank Win total over/under
Boise State 1 8
Wyoming 2 8
Colorado State 3 7.5
New Mexico 4 5.5
Air Force 5 5
Utah State 6 4.5
MWC West Rank Win total over/under
San Diego State 1 9.5
UNLV 2 5.5
Fresno State 3 4
Hawaii 4 4
Nevada 5 3.5
San Jose State 6 3.5
Sun Belt Rank Win total over/under
Appalachian State 1 9.5
Troy 2 8.5
Arkansas State 3 7.5
Georgia State 4 6
Coastal Carolina 5 5.5
UL-Lafayette 6 5
Georgia Southern 7 5
Idaho 8 4.5
South Alabama 9 4
New Mexico State 10 3.5
ULM 11 3.5
Texas State 12 2.5
Ties broken by odds South Point Sportsbook