The Week 3 matchup between the Houston Texans and the New England Patriots features an unexpected favorite looking to steal one on the road thanks to injuries. We've got the fantasy projections courtesy of numberFire.
The Houston Texans find themselves with a rare opportunity to go into New England this week and come out with a division leading 3-0 record. Fantasy owners can bet that the team is going to be hungry to do just that given the situation the Patriots are facing at quarterback. New England’s potential struggles on offense this week should bode well for Houston once the Patriots defense gets tired of being on the field.
Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins has touchdowns in each of its first two games. However, while it appeared that rookie Will Fuller might take away some of Hopkins’ shine — after the Texans’ 2016 draft pick posted outstanding numbers to open the season — it’s clear that Houston’s reception machine is still the No. 1 guy in the passing game.
Should Houston jump out to an early lead against the Patriots, running back Lamar Miller will be counted on to keep the clock moving. He’s had at least 27 touches in both of Houston’s games so far, and has managed to eclipse 100 total yards in both contests. That kind of heavy usage makes him a weekly play in head-to-head formats where reaching some sort of guaranteed floor for fantasy points is more valuable. Don’t be surprised if Miller chips in over 100 yards rushing and you get receptions to go with that in Week 3.
New England Patriots
With 2016 third-round draft pick Jacoby Brissett set to start on Thursday against the Texans, the Patriots coaching staff will likely lean heavily on the running game and call for a conservative approach. It’s usually hard to depend on a New England Patriots running back as a solid fantasy option, but this week, especially in standard formats, veteran LeGarrette Blount might be worth a look.
Blount has touchdowns in each of the team’s first two games of the season and is definitely the lead back, even though teammate James White will get some play in PPR formats because of his ability to catch passes on third downs. The Texans defense is really good but odds are the third-string quarterback won’t necessarily be leading huge drives down the field with big, long bomb plays. Blount should be in your fantasy lineup and should surpass his projection totals.
One receiver that is worth looking at for the Patriots is Julian Edelman. Again, with Tom Brady and Jimmy Garoppolo both watching from the sidelines this week, the Patriots are likely going to be forced to settle for short passes on slant routes, which should benefit one of the game’s top slot receivers greatly. Edelman may not have a touchdown this year just yet, but Week 3 should see him get plenty of looks, albeit against a solid defense. He will be especially valuable in leagues that reward receptions.