clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

NASCAR At Daytona 2014: Coke Zero 400 race day weather forecast part 2

Rain postponed the Coke Zero 400 Saturday night, with a similar weather forecast for Sunday, can NASCAR get all 400 miles complete?

Mother Nature was not kind to NASCAR fans, NASCAR or this weatherman Saturday afternoon and Saturday night. What looked like a "go racing" forecast turned into a "go home" and try it again another day. Like Friday and Saturday, Sunday's weather forecast is poised to be another challenging one. We have scattered areas of showers and thunderstorms once again in the weather forecast.

Race is scheduled for 11 a.m. EDT Sunday morning and the weather forecast for the start of the Coke Zero 400 looks dry. I believe we we start on time, but as the race goes on into the afternoon the threat of rain increases. The one area of hope I have this morning is the forecast models that got it right Saturday are starting to show a drier weather solution for the afternoon Sunday.

Will rain impact Sunday's race? While the morning will be dry, the chance of showers and storm increases as we go through the afternoon and into the evening. Like the last two day, we could see widely scattered areas of showers and thunderstorms form in the afternoon. It will all come down to when these showers and storms form and when and if these clusters or cells hit the track. The odds of rain impacting the race later today appears to be around 70%

Will it be a half race or a full complete race? With a start time of 11 a.m. this give NASCAR all day and all evening to get the Coke Zero 400 complete. Showers and storms in the afternoon become more likely as the day goes on but NASCAR also has lots of time to race or wait out the rain if need be. The odds of an official race (to halfway) is around 75%, the odds of a complete race is around 55 to 60 percent.

What makes this forecast today and over the last two days so challenging? I've used this analogy before but imagine you have a a bag of marbles and on the floor you have a map. You take that bag of marbles and then you dump them on to the map. Before you do that you have to forecast exactly when each marble will stop rolling and you also have to predict where they will stop. When it comes to the storms that form over Florida during the afternoon, this is the same challenge weather forecasters have. The other challenge is predicting how long these showers will last.

It's going to be another challenge day and weather forecast so follow me on Twitter @NASCAR_WXMAN and like me on Facebook for the latest weather updates through the weekend.

Conditions in Daytona Beach, FL: Click here for Current Weather ConditionsLook at Doppler Radar | Mobile Friendly Site | Mobile Radar

SUNDAY
11 a.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Partly sunny, chance of isolated storm – temp: 85
12 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Sun & clouds, chance of shower/storm – temp: 87
1 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Sun & clouds, chance of shower/storm – temp: 87
2 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Sun & clouds, possible of shower/storm – temp: 87
3 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Sun & clouds, possible of shower/storm – temp: 88
4 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Sun & clouds, possible of shower/storm – temp: 88
5 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Sun & clouds, possible of shower/storm – temp: 86
6 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Sun & clouds, possible of shower/storm – temp: 84
7 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race – Sun & clouds, possible of shower/storm – temp: 83
8 p.m. EDT
Sprint Cup Series Race –Partly cloudy, chance of shower/storm – temp: 83