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The Oklahoma City Thunder are not generally the kind of team that makes big free-agent splashes, but a report from Marc Stein suggests they've reached out to both Pau Gasol and Mike Miller:
ESPN sources say Pau Gasol and Mike Miller are indeed among free agents that Oklahoma City has engaged with since market opened
— Marc Stein (@ESPNSteinLine) July 2, 2014
More surprisingly, ESPN's Ramona Shelburne suggests they have become the frontrunner for Gasol's services, with several other teams, including the Bulls, in pursuit.
In a surprising twist, OKC has come on strong with Pau Gasol, and described as a "frontrunner" for the Spaniard.
— Ramona Shelburne (@ramonashelburne) July 2, 2014
Gasol's name is the more interesting of the two, so let's consider the possibility that he could join the Thunder.
Why this makes sense
NBA Deals
Oklahoma City's offense is powerful, but not especially fluid. The Thunder fail to generate much ball or player movement, and that hurts against elite defenses like the Spurs. Gasol's passing and unselfishness would help unlock some of those qualities and allow the Thunder to have more sets with multiple options. He'd also likely replace Kendrick Perkins up front, which would be a major upgrade.
From Gasol's perspective, the Thunder will provide him the best chance to win another ring, even more than Miami, who is also pursuing him.
Why this doesn't make sense
There's a reason the Thunder rarely make splashy free-agent signings: they have so much money locked into their stars and have thus far steadfastly refused to go over the luxury tax. Because of that, they are limited in what they can pay Gasol. Even using the full mid-level exception of $5.5 million or so a season will get them perilously close to the projected $77 million luxury tax line and leave very little room to fill out the roster. Gasol is declining, but he should get better offers, even from Miami and especially from the Lakers.
Likelihood
I would be very surprised if Gasol ended up in Oklahoma City, but the second report makes it seem more likely than originally thought. Chances are Oklahoma City may very well be interested, but not in a practical way that would actually get the Spanish big man to town. That said, this rumor's likelihood rises from a 1 to a 4 out of 10.