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Much as in the major human polls and BCS rankings this week, I was most interested to see where Alabama would rank in the Week 11 BlogPoll. That answer is No. 4, behind No. 1 LSU, No. 2 Oklahoma State, and No. 3 Stanford. If the BlogPoll were a component of the BCS formula, that would be bad news for No. 5 Boise State.
Alabama's points-per-blog is consistent with a consensus No. 4 team; Oklahoma State's and Stanford's numbers look more like No. 2.3 and No. 2.7, while Boise's at something like No. 4.6. If that doesn't make sense, don't worry: it's basically the same as saying that Alabama is first in line behind the last three major undefeated teams, and that, as in other college football rankings for Week 11, its one loss to LSU hurts it less than Boise State would have wanted.
Elsewhere, Nebraska falls out of the top 10 after losing to Northwestern, Michigan nearly falls out of the top 25 after a road loss to Iowa, Georgia creeps into the top 15 to bolster Boise, and no one has any idea what to do with USC, as usual.
Results for Week 11
Total Ballots: 81
Wack Ballot Watchdog
The first-place votes for Oklahoma State and Stanford didn't come from where you might think: Husker Mike's Blasphemy enthroned the Cowboys, ranking LSU third, while the Cardinal got their top spot from NittanyWhiteOut.
Tomahawk Nation has Boise the lowest, at No. 10 and behind Virginia Tech. Most of you know I'm not the strictest resume ballot voter, but I do use best wins when ranking teams; that helps me avoid putting a team whose best win is by three points at home over Miami ahead of a team that dissected Georgia in Atlanta.
Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most and least disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at No. 25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, Kansas) would all be at the top.
# | School | Points/blog | SD |
---|---|---|---|
1 | USC Trojans | 6.32 | 4.58 |
2 | Kansas St. Wildcats | 7.67 | 4.41 |
3 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 5.89 | 4.09 |
4 | Penn St. Nittany Lions | 12.53 | 3.93 |
5 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 9.81 | 3.73 |
No shock here: USC's a West Coast team that doesn't show up on TV until very late, and alternates between giving Minnesota an upset chance and hanging with Stanford in three overtimes. I guess the win over Colorado was enough for a lot of voters.
Kansas State, Cincinnati, and Penn State all fall into the Gaudy Records Compiled Against Clearly Inferior Teams categoy, while South Carolina is a decent team with a good defense that has been decimated by offensive injuries.
Ballot Math
First up are Mr. Bold and Mr. Numb Existence. The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.
# | Blog | Team | Ballot | Avg Error |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Black Heart Gold Pants | Iowa Hawkeyes | ballot | 3.51 |
2 | NittanyWhiteOut | Penn St. Nittany Lions | ballot | 2.81 |
3 | Frogs O' War | TCU Horned Frogs | ballot | 2.75 |
4 | Barking Carnival | Texas Longhorns | ballot | 2.73 |
5 | One Foot Down | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | ballot | 2.49 |
Resume balloting continues to give voters a great chance to top this category, and this week, it's corrections for South Carolina, Nebraska, Michigan, and even Alabama that propel Black Heart Gold Pants and Frogs O' War.
# | Blog | Team | Ballot | Avg Error |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Frank the Tank's Slant | Illinois Fighting Illini | ballot | 0.92 |
2 | Eleven Warriors | Ohio St. Buckeyes | ballot | 1.11 |
3 | Baltimore Sports Report | Maryland Terrapins | ballot | 1.35 |
4 | Red Cup Rebellion | Mississippi Rebels | ballot | 1.37 |
5 | Mountain West Connection | Utah Utes | ballot | 1.38 |
Evidence of how screwy this college football season is: Frank the Tank's Slant's top five is LSU, Stanford, Boise State, Oklahoma State, and Alabama, in that order, and still wins this category easily.
Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award, which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.
# | Blog | Team | Ballot | Bias |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Frogs O' War | TCU Horned Frogs | ballot | 4.93 |
2 | Garnet and Black Attack | South Carolina Gamecocks | ballot | 4.19 |
3 | Bucky's 5th Quarter | Wisconsin Badgers | ballot | 2.53 |
4 | Barking Carnival | Texas Longhorns | ballot | 2.48 |
5 | Eleven Warriors | Ohio St. Buckeyes | ballot | 2.07 |
Frogs O' War has been high on TCU, winning this category last week, and now has the Horned Frogs 20th when they're a consensus 26th.
# | Blog | Team | Ballot | Bias |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | The Ciskie Blog | Wisconsin Badgers | ballot | -4.47 |
2 | SpartyMSU | Michigan St. Spartans | ballot | -1.38 |
3 | One Foot Down | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | ballot | -0.37 |
4 | Tom Fornelli | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | ballot | -0.37 |
5 | BCS Guru | USC Trojans | ballot | -0.32 |
Wisconsin's up to No. 15 in the BlogPoll, and yet The Ciskie Blog has the Badgers No. 20 — yet again, Week 10's winner repeats in a category.
Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.
# | Blog | Team | Ballot | Swing |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Frogs O' War | TCU Horned Frogs | ballot | 104 |
2 | Black Heart Gold Pants | Iowa Hawkeyes | ballot | 92 |
3 | The Key Play | Virginia Tech Hokies | ballot | 92 |
4 | Garnet and Black Attack | South Carolina Gamecocks | ballot | 90 |
5 | The Ralphie Report | Colorado Buffaloes | ballot | 84 |
And this makes three straight repeat wins from Week 10, in large part because Frogs O' War has three teams moving more than 10 spots at a time when few voters are moving even a single team that dramatically.
# | Blog | Team | Ballot | Swing |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bucky's 5th Quarter | Wisconsin Badgers | ballot | 50 |
2 | BCS Guru | USC Trojans | ballot | 56 |
3 | Hog Database | Arkansas Razorbacks | ballot | 56 |
4 | Red Cup Rebellion | Mississippi Rebels | ballot | 58 |
5 | Baltimore Sports Report | Maryland Terrapins | ballot | 58 |
The thing I like about low-swing ballots is how tidy they look. Not moving Kansas State helped the Bucky's 5th Quarter folks in this regard.