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2012 BlogPoll, Week 1: USC, Alabama Rise As Honey Badger-Less LSU Falls

The first weekly BlogPoll of the 2012 season is also the first to deal with LSU dismissing Tyrann Mathieu. The Tigers fall out of the top spot as a result, and USC and Alabama jump them.

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Losing Tyrann Mathieu may not be a death blow to LSU in 2012 — but it dropped the Tigers out of the top spot in the BlogPoll.

After LSU was No. 1 in our summer BlogPoll, USC and Alabama have jumped it to take the top two places in the Week 1 BlogPoll for the 2012 season.

Breeze through the 2012 Top 25 with Bill Connelly and Dan Rubenstein!

USC beats Alabama by a very slim margin, just .13 points per blog, and LSU isn't far back of the defending champion Crimson Tide, checking in a mere .31 points per blog behind.

All three teams combine for 70 of the 72 first-place votes, and are well ahead of Oregon, which receives a first-place vote and ranks fourth, and Oklahoma, in fifth.

Florida State, Georgia, Michigan, South Carolina and Wisconsin round out the top 10, while Arkansas falls from No. 10 to No. 12 after the Bobby Petrino fallout.

The only other team to take a first-place vote is Texas, which moves to No. 15 and makes the biggest jump from the previous preseason poll.

SB Nation BlogPoll Top 25 College Football Rankings

Results for Week 1

# School Points/blog SD Delta
1 USC Trojans (32) 24.14 2.26 Arrow_up 1
2 Alabama Crimson Tide (23) 24.01 2.49 Arrow_up 1
3 LSU Tigers (15) 23.70 2.42 Arrow_down -2
4 Oregon Ducks (1) 21.63 1.50 --
5 Oklahoma Sooners 21.27 2.84 --
6 Florida St. Seminoles 18.52 1.98 Arrow_up 2
7 Georgia Bulldogs 17.76 2.99 Arrow_down -1
8 Michigan Wolverines 16.25 2.80 Arrow_down -1
9 South Carolina Gamecocks 15.80 3.63 --
10 Wisconsin Badgers 15.68 2.91 Arrow_up 2
11 West Virginia Mountaineers 15.32 2.68 --
12 Arkansas Razorbacks 14.56 4.11 Arrow_down -2
13 Michigan St. Spartans 13.59 3.49 --
14 Clemson Tigers 10.87 4.04 Arrow_up 2
15 Virginia Tech Hokies 10.07 4.23 Arrow_up 2
16 Texas Longhorns (1) 8.48 4.66 Arrow_up 5
17 Nebraska Cornhuskers 8.38 3.29 Arrow_up 1
18 Ohio St. Buckeyes 7.25 5.64 Arrow_up 2
19 Oklahoma St. Cowboys 6.93 4.14 Arrow_up 4
20 TCU Horned Frogs 6.87 4.64 Arrow_down -6
21 Stanford Cardinal 6.10 3.98 Arrow_down -2
22 Kansas St. Wildcats 5.30 4.28 Arrow_down -7
23 Boise St. Broncos 4.08 3.81 Arrow_down -1
24 Florida Gators 3.08 3.44 Arrow_up 2
25 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1.85 3.24 Arrow_down -1
Others Receiving Votes: Louisville Cardinals | Utah Utes | Washington Huskies | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | Auburn Tigers | Texas A&M Aggies | South Florida Bulls | North Carolina Tar Heels | Fla. International Golden Panthers | San Jose St. Spartans | Arizona Wildcats | Central Florida Knights | Florida Atlantic Owls | ULM Warhawks | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Hawaii Warriors | California Golden Bears | N.C. State Wolfpack | Missouri Tigers | UAB Blazers | Mississippi Rebels | Illinois Fighting Illini | BYU Cougars | Ohio Bobcats | Central Michigan Chippewas | Washington St. Cougars | Iowa Hawkeyes | Southern Miss. Golden Eagles | Baylor Bears | Tennessee Volunteers | San Diego St. Aztecs | Cincinnati Bearcats | Louisiana Ragin Cajuns | Nevada Wolf Pack | Houston Cougars | New Mexico St. Aggies | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | New Mexico Lobos | Vanderbilt Commodores | Virginia Cavaliers | Dixie State Rebels | Northern Illinois Huskies | Duke Blue Devils | Ball St. Cardinals
Updated: Aug 28, 2012 10:00 AM EDT

Total Ballots: 71

Explore votes by team | Explore poll ballots by voter

Wack Ballot Watchdog

Someone voted Texas No. 1... and it wasn't a Texas blogger. No, that was Luke Zimmermann of Land-Grant Holy Land, who explains the move as a show of faith in Manny Diaz and Bryan Harsin.

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at No. 25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, UTEP) would all be at the top.

# School Points/blog SD
1 Ohio St. Buckeyes 7.25 5.64
2 Texas Longhorns (1) 8.48 4.66
3 TCU Horned Frogs 6.87 4.64
4 Kansas St. Wildcats 5.30 4.28
5 Virginia Tech Hokies 10.07 4.23

Who knows how Ohio State will perform in the first year of Urban Meyer's tenure? Not the BlogPoll voters, who slot the Buckeyes in at No. 18 and yet have a huge amount of disagreement on whether they fit there, in the top 10 (where nine voters have them), or outside the top 25 (14 bloggers left the Bucks off). Texas, entering Year 2 of the Harsin Experiment, takes second, while TCU, which may see its season go up in smoke, comes in third.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

# Blog Team Ballot Avg Error
1 House of Sparky Arizona St. Sun Devils ballot 5.10
2 Barking Carnival Texas Longhorns ballot 4.53
3 And The Valley Shook! LSU Tigers ballot 3.75
4 The Ralphie Report Colorado Buffaloes ballot 3.26
5 BCS Guru USC Trojans ballot 3.16

TCU is sixth and Washington is 13th on House of Sparky's ballot. Barking Carnival's ballot has Florida State second, Ohio State fifth, and Utah 15th. There is little to be lost by being bold in the preseason.

# Blog Team Ballot Avg Error
1 Garnet and Black Attack South Carolina Gamecocks ballot 1.42
2 Frank the Tank's Slant Illinois Fighting Illini ballot 1.46
3 Blogger So Dear Wake Forest Demon Deacons ballot 1.52
4 Eleven Warriors Ohio St. Buckeyes ballot 1.53
5 Tom Fornelli Notre Dame Fighting Irish ballot 1.67

Garnet and Black Attack wins this despite having the top four in a completely different order (LSU, USC, Oregon, Alabama) than the BlogPoll consensus.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award, which goes to the team with the highest bias rating. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team. There is usually a Straight Bangin' Award that corresponds to negative bias, but the math decided to not work on that this week.

# Blog Team Ballot Bias
1 Barking Carnival Texas Longhorns ballot 10.52
2 Mountain West Connection Utah Utes ballot 7.62
3 Eleven Warriors Ohio St. Buckeyes ballot 4.75
4 Garnet and Black Attack South Carolina Gamecocks ballot 4.20
5 Frogs O' War TCU Horned Frogs ballot 3.13

Barking Carnival's wacky ballot takes a gold to go with its silver for boldness, as awarding Texas the No. 7 spot earns high marks for audacious homerism.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

# Blog Team Ballot Swing
1 And The Valley Shook! LSU Tigers ballot 154
2 One Foot Down Notre Dame Fighting Irish ballot 118
3 Frogs O' War TCU Horned Frogs ballot 104
4 Garnet and Black Attack South Carolina Gamecocks ballot 102
5 Corn Nation Nebraska Cornhuskers ballot 90

Swing is sort of pointless when going from one preseason ballot to another, but ATVS' double-digit moves for Florida State and Ohio State give it a lopsided victory here.

# Blog Team Ballot Swing
1 Let's Go Rockets Toledo Rockets ballot 14
2 Land-Grant Holyland Ohio St. Buckeyes ballot 16
3 The Ralphie Report Colorado Buffaloes ballot 20
4 House of Sparky Arizona St. Sun Devils ballot 46
5 Card Chronicle Louisville Cardinals ballot 64

The biggest change that Let's Go Rockets made? Moving LSU from second to fourth and replacing it with Florida State. Confidence is fun!

While we’re here, let’s watch some of the many fine college football videos from SB Nation’s YouTube channel:

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