After losing last Thursday to the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Houston Texans maintain a strong hold on the top pick in the 2014 NFL Draft.
The rest of the top 10 is not as settled. The Jaguars went from having the No. 2 pick last week to No. 5 this week. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers also dropped in the order after a win, going from No. 5 to No. 9.
The draft order is determined by record. For teams with the same record, strength of schedule is the first tiebreaker. If those are the same, division record is factored in, but only if the teams play in the same division. If not, it's conference record, but only if they play in the same conference. If the teams are still tied, a coin is flipped at the NFL Scouting Combine.
Head-to-head results do not factor into the draft order.
In the season, though, a draft order is a complete hypothetical. The season isn't ending right now. The strength of schedule for this draft order uses the complete season strength of schedule. Others may use strength of schedule through games played.
But it's a hypothetical, so how about a quick what-if involving the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers? The two teams played to a tie earlier in the season.
If the Vikings lost to the Packers instead of tying, they would have the No. 3 pick right now and not No. 4. If the Vikings beat the Packers instead of tying, they would have the No. 7 pick.
There will be high drama in Week 15 with the Washington Redskins playing at the Atlanta Falcons. Talk about game of the week. Don't forget, the Redskins' pick (currently No. 2) goes to the St. Louis Rams as part of the Robert Griffin III trade.
1. Houston Texans - 2-11 (.553)
2. St. Louis Rams (via Washington Redskins) - 3-10 (.519)
3. Atlanta Falcons- 3-10 (.558)
4. Minnesota Vikings - 3-9-1 (.529)
5. Jacksonville Jaguars 4-9 (.490)
6. Oakland Raiders 4-9 (.514)
7. Cleveland Browns 4-9 (.519)
8. Buffalo Bills - 4-9 (.534)
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 4-9 (.572)
10. Pittsburgh Steelers - 5-8 (.485)
11. Tennessee Titans - 5-8 (.495)
12. New York Giants - 5-8 (.539)
13. St. Louis Rams - 5-8 (.553)
14. New York Jets - 6-7 (.490)
15. San Diego Chargers - 6-7 (.519)
16. Green Bay Packers - 6-6-1 (.461)
17. Chicago Bears - 7-6 (.475)
18. Dallas Cowboys - 7-6 (.495)
19. Miami Dolphins - 7-6 (.505)
20. Arizona Cardinals - 8-5 (.529)
Teams 21-32 are currently on pace to make the playoffs. Elimination will determine the proper order, so this is only ordered by record.
21. Detroit Lions - 7-6 (.461)
22. Baltimore Ravens - 7-6 (.485)
23. Philadelphia Eagles - 8-5 (.471)
24. Cleveland Browns (via Indianapolis Colts) - 8-5 (.490)
25. Carolina Panthers - 9-4 (.495)
26. San Francisco 49ers - 9-4 (.495)
27. Cincinnati Bengals - 9-4 (.471)
28. Kansas City Chiefs - 10-3 (.442)
29. New England Patriots - 10-3 (.471)
30. New Orleans Saints - 10-3 (.510)
31. Seattle Seahawks - 11-2 (.471)
32. Denver Broncos - 11-2 (.476)
Texans: at Colts, vs. Broncos, at Titans
Redskins: at Falcons, vs. Cowboys, at Giants
Falcons: vs. Redskins, at 49ers, vs. Panthers
Vikings: vs. Eagles, at Bengals, vs. Lions
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