The first round of the 2013 NFL Draft figures to be as unpredictable as any in recent memory. A handful of picks seem to be rounding into form at the top, but each team could go a number of different directions with the talent at the top of this draft.
The Jaguars hold the keys to the top 10. Their decision on West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith will set the tone for the rest of the first 10 picks. Trades are sure to be rampant in this draft, but we've decided to hold off on doing a mock draft with trades for sanity's sake.
Instead, I've elected to extend the mock draft to three rounds. As always, fire away in the comments and be sure to include your latest mock draft below.
|1. Kansas City Chiefs
||Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
The Kansas City Chiefs are starting to throw up mixed signals in regard to their intentions with the No. 1 pick. That's typical of this time of year. After trading a second-round pick to obtain Alex Smith, it's tough to see the Chiefs sinking more resources into the quarterback spot. Some will debate that Eric Fisher is a better tackle prospect than Luke Joeckel, and a case can certainly be made. Joeckel ranks higher on our board and is probably NFL-ready enough to kick Brandon Albert to the right side.
|2. Jacksonville Jaguars
||Geno Smith, West Virginia||QB||6'2 3/8||218||Sr.|
When a team needs a quarterback, that is the team's biggest need. GM David Caldwell has said the Jaguars will be a needs-based team in the draft, but without any history, it's tough to tell just how the new front office will draft. Blaine Gabbert has not inspired enough confidence to convince the Jaguars to pass on the best quarterback prospect in the 2013 class. West Virginia's Geno Smith has big potential, and if Caldwell sees him as a franchise guy after spending time with him in Morgantown, he will pull the trigger. Jacksonville will also try to trade down, but we're leaving trades out of this mock.
|3. Oakland Raiders
Star Lotulelei, Utah
Sharrif Floyd has been the popular pick for the Raiders in mock drafts, but with the news that Star Lotulelei's heart is healthy, he takes this spot. Lotulelei is a more versatile prospect than Floyd and presents the greater upside. He can play virtually anywhere on the defensive line and dominates the point of attack. To those that say this draft lacks top end talent, I point to Loutlelei.
|4. Philadelphia Eagles
Eric Fisher, Central Michigan
The Eagles offensive line is largely dependent on Jason Peters, who is coming off another major injury. Eric Fisher has solidified his place in the top five picks; it's just a matter of which team will draft him. Teams could be looking to trade ahead of the Lions to secure Fisher, but ultimately, the Eagles could use the talent up front.
|5. Detroit Lions
Ezekiel Ansah, BYU
Since the Senior Bowl, the Detroit Lions' connection to Ezekiel Ansah has been a popular one. With the two top tackles off the board, Ansah remains the most logical choice. He's a high upside player that fills a huge need.
|6. Cleveland Browns
||Dee Milliner, Alabama||CB||
During Michael Lombardi's tenure in Oakland, the team drafted defensive backs early and often. Given the amount of money Cleveland sank into the pass rush in free agency, the Browns should be able to address the cornerback spot on draft day. Dee Milliner and Joe Haden would form quite the tandem.
|7. Arizona Cardinals
Dion Jordan, Oregon
The Cardinals will have to choose whether they want to reach a bit and secure a potential franchise left tackle or draft one of the top defensive playmakers to fill a need at outside linebacker. Dion Jordan may not last this long, but if he does, Arizona should not hesitate.
|8. Buffalo Bills
||Tavon Austin, West Virginia||WR||5'8 1/2||174||Sr.|
This is my first curveball. The Bills are going to address the quarterback position early in this draft, as made evident by the number of pre-draft visits the team has used on the position. I considered Tyler Wilson with this pick, but ultimately, I think the Bills will wait until Day 2 for a quarterback. Instead, they add Tavon Austin, arguably the most explosive playmaker in the draft.
|9. New York Jets
Barkevious Mingo, LSU
The Jets are sure to be interested in a quarterback at some point on draft weekend, but the pass rush should take priority given the value on the board. Barkevious Mingo has the length and first step to be a dominant edge rusher in a 3-4 scheme. Rex Ryan desperately needs to infuse some life into his front seven.
|10. Tennessee Titans
||Bjoern Werner, Florida State||DE||6'3 1/4
Kamerion Wimbley and Derrick Morgan have become a solid tandem at defensive end for the Titans, but the team needs to beef up the depth chart with more pass rushers. Not only would Bjoern Werner provide the team depth, but he may become the team's most talented edge rusher.
|11. San Diego Chargers
||Lane Johnson, Oklahoma||OT||6'6||303||Sr.|
Some think the Chargers won't be able to sit tight at 11 and secure the services of Lane Johnson. Time will tell, but in this version of my mock, San Diego lucks out. Johnson has tons of upside and should be able to provide some stability to the Chargers' offensive line in due time.
Lane Johnson scouting report
|12. Miami Dolphins
Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame
The Dolphins have done a lot in free agency and could be positioning themselves for a trade down (or up if they really want a certain player). With the best offensive linemen gone, getting another weapon for Ryan Tannehill would be a wise move. Wide receiver signing Mike Wallace won't do a lot for Miami in the red zone, so Eifert could be the perfect security blanket.
|13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
||Xavier Rhodes, Florida State||CB||6'1 1/2||210||Jr.|
Whether it’s a player like Rhodes or Desmond Trufant, cornerback has to be the top first-round priority for the Buccaneers. Chances are this pick could get flipped for Darrelle Revis. If it is and the Jets are picking here, cornerback may be the 13th pick in the draft regardless.
|14. Carolina Panthers
||Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee||WR||6'1 7/8
If Cam Newton is going to thrive, the Panthers need to continue to surround him with weapons. Steve Smith isn't getting younger, so Carolina would be well served to add some youth at the position. No receiver in this draft brings the upside to the position that Patterson does. A lot of people have been clamoring for a defensive tackle here, but we all did the same thing last year, and look how that turned out.
|15. New Orleans Saints
Sheldon Richardson, Missouri
Switching to a new 3-4 defense, the Saints need to add some pieces to the front-seven. Sheldon Richardson could play defensive end in a 3-4 scheme and has the impact potential New Orleans needs up front. The secondary is also in dire straights, but Richardson's value is too much to pass up.Sheldon Richardson scouting report
|16. St. Louis Rams
||Kenny Vaccaro, Texas
Kenny Vaccaro scouting report
|17. Pittsburgh Steelers
||DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson
|18. Dallas Cowboys
||Chance Warmack, Alabama||G||6'2
The Cowboys could desperately use a safety here, but the depth at the position in this draft could allow them to wait until the second day. The offensive line is the bigger issue, and the value Chance Warmack presents is too much to pass up.
Chance Warmack scouting report
|19. New York Giants
||Tank Carradine, Florida State||DE||6'4 1/4||276||Sr.|
|20. Chicago Bears
||Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina||G||6'2
|21. Cincinnati Bengals
Jonathan Cyprien, Florida International
I'm still under the assumption that the Bengals get a deal done with Andre Smith. If not, this pick becomes D.J. Fluker. That leaves Cincinnati open to go after Cyprien, a talented safety prospect that can run and hit. Another wide receiver or a running back could get some consideration with this choice, but Cyprien could have a bigger impact on the team.
|22. St. Louis Rams
D.J. Fluker, Alabama
I know the Rams have been pegged for a wide receiver with one of their first-round picks in nearly every mock draft, but D.J. Fluker would help round out the rebuild of St. Louis' offensive line. Plus, day two should be filled with capable wide receivers.
|23. Minnesota Vikings
Sharrif Floyd, Florida
The Vikings get a nice value here thanks to the Carolina Panthers passing on defensive tackle for wide receiver. Sharrif Floyd is a top-15 player, but he is also the third-best defensive tackle on my board. This is about as low as I could see him falling, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him come off the board at No. 2 overall.
|24. Indianapolis Colts
Jarvis Jones, Georgia
Indianapolis needs a productive pass rusher for its 3-4 defense, and the most productive 3-4 linebacker in the class falls to them at pick No. 24. Jarvis Jones isn't a perfect prospect, but he has the motor and snap anticipation to make plays.
|25. Minnesota Vikings
||Arthur Brown, Kansas State||LB||6'0||241||Sr.|
The Vikings have shown plenty of interest in Manti Te'o, but Arthur Brown is the better linebacker prospect. If Minnesota managed to come away from the first round with Floyd and Brown, the front seven would be in solid shape for the foreseeable future.Arthur Brown scouting report
|26. Green Bay Packers
Manti Te'o, Notre Dame
I can't think of a better fit for Manti Te'o. He needs to play in a 3-4 defense, and he needs to go to a place where the media won't be all over his every move. This move makes sense for the Packers as well. Just go back and watch the team's playoff loss to the 49ers. Linebacker is a big need for them, and Te'o would be a nice fit.
|27. Houston Texans
Keenan Allen, California
The Texans need to find a capable receiver across from Andre Johnson. Keenan Allen only slides this far because of a knee injury that ended his season early. He's one of the most talented receivers in the draft, and would slide into the starting lineup right away.
|28. Denver Broncos
||Damontre Moore, Texas A&M||DE/OLB||6'4 1/2
Damontre Moore has suffered quite the fall from grace, but it's not entirely unwarranted. He struggled in the pre-draft process, and his play this fall wasn't as impressive as others at his position. The Broncos get a solid value, and maybe Moore will thrive playing alongside his former teammate, Von Miller. After losing Elvis Dumervil, Denver needs to add a defensive end.
|29. New England Patriots
Blidi Wreh-Wilson, Connecticut
Here's a new name to keep an eye on. Blidi Wreh-Wilson is quickly becoming one of my favorite cornerbacks in this class the more I watch him. I think the end of the first round could be the start of a run on cornerbacks, and with New England spending plenty of time at Wreh-Wilson's pro day, he could sneak into the back half of the first round.
|30. Atlanta Falcons
Desmond Trufant, Washington
The Falcons continue the run on cornerbacks with Desmond Trufant, who many believe is a much better player than Wreh-Wilson. I respectfully disagree, though both are quality, first-round caliber prospects.
|31. San Francisco 49ers
Jesse Williams, Alabama
The 49ers need to replace Isaac Sopoaga, who left in free agency. While most view Jesse Williams as a nose tackle, he's much more than that and has the ability to play in the multiple looks that the 49ers use on defense.Jesse Williams scouting report
|32. Baltimore Ravens
Menelik Watson, Florida State
The Ravens have a few holes to fill after losing multiple players to free agency. Finding a fixture on the offensive line should be a high priority in Baltimore, though, and Menelik Watson is the type of high upside player the Ravens love.
33. Jacksonville Jaguars - D.J. Swearinger, Safety, South Carolina
Gus Bradley likes long, athletic players in the secondary, and D.J. Swearinger fits the bill. The hard-hitting defensive back has the versatility to play multiple positions in the secondary at a high level.
34. San Francisco 49ers - Logan Ryan, CB, Rutgers
I've given the 49ers Logan Ryan a few times in the first round, so this a nice value pick for a team in need of secondary help.
35. Philadelphia Eagles - E.J. Manuel, QB, Florida State
E.J. Manuel isn't among my top five quarterbacks in this draft, but I don't make the picks. Manuel fits Chip Kelly's new offense and has upside. That may be enough for him to land at the top of the second round.
36. Detroit Lions - Robert Woods, WR, USC
The value at offensive tackle isn't the best, and the Lions have other needs to address. A threat across from Calvin Johnson is needed after Titus Young's flameout. Robert Woods is under the radar right now, but he's as reliable a route runner as this class has.
37. Cincinnati Bengals - Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina
The Bengals need to find a threat at running back in this draft. Giovani Bernard is the best prospect in this draft and fits what the Bengals do on offense. He would be a threat out of the backfield as well.
38. Arizona Cardinals - Terron Armstead, T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
After neglecting the offensive line in the first round, the Cardinals come back and land the athletic Terron Armstead in round two to bolster the trenches.
39. New York Jets - Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas
Mark Sanchez is not the answer at quarterback. Tyler Wilson is my second-ranked signal caller and would be a nice value pick for New York here. He could be the Week 1 starter.
40. Tennessee Titans - Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
Johnthan Banks slides a bit due to the strength of this cornerback class. The Titans can't complain, though. After getting a pass rusher in round one, Tennessee bolster the secondary.
41. Buffalo Bills - Matt Barkley, QB, USC
The Bills signed Kevin Kolb, but that hardly fixes the quarterback situation. Matt Barkley has taken a beating in the last 12 months, but he's still worth a second-round pick for a team in need of quarterback help.
42. Miami Dolphins - Jordan Poyer, CB, Oregon State
Miami needs to add a young cornerback to the mix. With the amount of zone coverage the team plays, Jordan Poyer would be an excellent fit.
43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford
Tight end is enough of a need for the team to consider Tyler Eifert in the first round. They don't have a shot at him in this draft and get some value with Zach Ertz in round two.
44. Carolina Panthers - Sylvester Williams, DT, UNC
Would you look at that? The Panthers pass on a defensive tackle in the first round and still wind up with a solid prospect. The position is deep this year.
45. San Diego Chargers - Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia
The Chargers need to add some talent at inside linebacker, and Alec Ogletree certainly brings plenty of that.
46. St. Louis Rams - Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
The Rams missed out on wide receivers in the first round but still wind up with a wide receiver with a high ceiling in Justin Hunter.
47. Dallas Cowboys - Matt Elam, S, Florida
Safety is a sore spot on the Cowboys' defense that needs to be addressed in the first two days.
48. Pittsburgh Steelers - Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
The Steelers need to add a running back in the 2013 NFL Draft, and I can't think of a better fit than Eddie Lacy.
49. New York Giants - Kevin Minter, LB, LSU
The Giants have a need at linebacker, but this is also a value pick. Kevin Minter could easily come off the board in the late first round.
50. Chicago Bears - Gavin Escobar, TE, San Diego State
The Bears beefed up the offensive line in the first round, now they need to find another weapon for Jay Cutler. Gavin Escobar is our top ranked tight end on the board at this point.
51. Washington Redskins - Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State
The Redskins' secondary will be a priority in this draft. Lucky for them, the depth at cornerback and safety should allow them to make a value pick in the second round.
52. Minnesota Vikings - Quinton Patton, WR, Louisiana Tech
The Vikings lost Percy Harvin, so wide receiver is a need, despite the addition of Greg Jennings. Quinton Patton doesn't have the physical tools of some other wide receivers in this class, but he is a polished player who can contribute right away.
53. Cincinnati Bengals - Datone Jones, DE, UCLA
Datone Jones is a man without a natural position, so he could slide some. The Bengals can't complain about adding a player of his caliber, though.
54. Miami Dolphins - Eric Reid, S, LSU
Miami adds another talented player to a secondary that needs a few.
55. Green Bay Packers – Travis Frederick, C, Wisconsin
The Packers need to address the interior of the offensive line, and Travis Frederick has the versatility to play guard or center. He's the best center in this class.
57. Houston Texans - Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse
The Texans need to find a quarterback to eventually replace Matt Schaub. Ryan Nassib is too good a value to pass up here.
58. Denver Broncos - Jonathan Franklin, RB, UCLA
Jonathan Franklin isn't likely to make it out of the second round. The Broncos could use the help at running back. Knowshon Moreno is inconsistent, Willis McGahee is old, and Ronnie Hillman has largely been ineffective.
59. New England Patriots - Stedman Bailey, WR, West Virginia
The Patriots haven't had much success drafting wide receivers in recent years, but Stedman Bailey seems like a safe bet to succeed.
60. Atlanta Falcons - Margus Hunt, DE, SMU
A high upside pass rusher to groom under the veterans is just what Atlanta needs.
61. San Francisco 49ers - D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston
The 49ers get another steal thanks to the depth of the cornerback class.
62. Baltimore Ravens - Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech
The Ravens need a physical receiver after the departure of Anquan Boldin. Da'Rick Rogers falls because of character concerns, but he has first round talent.
63. Kansas City Chiefs - Jamie Collins, DE/OLB, Southern Mississippi
The Chiefs are set at their starting outside linebacker spots, but adding depth with the best available player would be a good move.
64. Jacksonville Jaguars - Corey Lemonier, DE, Auburn
The Jaguars will employ a "LEO" edge rusher similar to what Seattle uses. Corey Lemonier is a nice fit for that role.
65. Detroit Lions - Dallas Thomas, OT/G, Tennessee
The Lions were unable to address the offensive line in the first two rounds, but they get nice value with the versatile Dallas Thomas in the third round.
66. Oakland Raiders - Tyler Bray, QB, Tennessee
The Raiders picked up Matt Flynn via trade, but they need to start developing a young quarterback.
67. Philadelphia Eagles - Bennie Logan, DT, LSU
The Eagles get anther piece for their new 3-4 defense.
68. Cleveland Browns - Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State
69. Arizona Cardinals - Larry Warford, G, Kentucky
An absolute steal for the Cardinals, who are desperate to upgrade the offensive line in any way possible.
70. Tennessee Titans - Justin Pugh, OT/G, Syracuse
Even with the signing of Andy Levitre, depth is needed on Tennessee's offensive line.
71. Buffalo Bills - Nico Johnson, LB, Alabama
72. New York Jets - Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State
73. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Brandon Williams, DT, Missouri Southern
74. San Francisco 49ers Christine Michael, RB, Texas A&M
75. New Orleans Saints - Keith Pough, LB, Howard
76. San Diego Chargers - Zac Dysert, QB, Miami (Ohio)
77. Miami Dolphins - Phillip Thomas, S, Fresno State
76. St. Louis Rams - Andre Ellington, RB, Clemson
77. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jelani Jenkins, OLB, Florida
78. Dallas Cowboys - Bacarri Rambo, S, Georgia
79. New York Giants - Kyle Long, OT/G, Oregon
80. Miami Dolphins - Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU
81. Minnesota Vikings - David Amerson, CB/S, NC State
82. Cincinnati Bengals - Quanterus Smith, DE, Western Kentucky
83. Washington Redskins - Shamarko Thomas, S, Syracuse
84. Indianapolis Colts - John Jenkins, DT, Georgia
85. Seattle Seahawks - Tyrann Mathieu, S, LSU
86. Green Bay Packers - J.J. Wilcox, S, Georgia Southern
87. Houston Texans - John Bostic, MLB, Florida
88. Denver Broncos - Leon McFadden, CB, San Diego State
89. New England Patriots - Will Davis, CB, Utah State
90. Atlanta Falcons - Marcus Lattimore, RB, South Carolina
91. San Francisco 49ers - Shawn Williams, S, Georgia
92. Baltimore Ravens - Joe Kruger, OLB, Utah
93. Houston Texans - Travis Kelce, TE, Cincinnati
94. Kansas City Chiefs - Mike Glennon, QB, NC State
95. Tennessee Titans - Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State