/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20610651/20121230_ajl_ac4_206.0.jpg)
A quarter of the season is already done. It feels like the season just started -- no way we're already 25% done! Okay, hissy fit over. We've had a few surprises, both good and bad, as well as teams being just what we expected.
What do we know about the NFL so far? We know that all the preseason analysis and conjecture is for naught. The Chiefs were ranked 22nd to start the season, Redskins 11th, Saints 12th and Titans 26th. I'm not going to do a big comparison of the season. That'll come around Week 8 or 9 when I look at the rankings for that week compared to the rankings from Week 1 just to see who the biggest surprises are and the biggest disappointments.
Division Averages
Division | Avg Ranking |
---|---|
AFC West | 12.9875 |
AFC East | 13.6000 |
NFC North | 15.0375 |
AFC South | 15.6250 |
NFC West | 15.7750 |
NFC South | 16.2250 |
AFC North | 19.1500 |
NFC East | 23.6000 |
The AFC West is now the highest-ranked division in the NFL, with the NFC East now the weakest. I bet nobody saw that coming. The difference between the NFC East (8th) and the AFC North (7th) is wider than the gap separating the AFC West (1st) and the NFC West (5th).
Stock Rising
Team | Week 4 Average | Week 5 Average | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
TEN | 18.278 | 11.146 | 7.132 |
CLE | 23.778 | 18.354 | 5.424 |
SDG | 20.375 | 15.083 | 5.292 |
DET | 16.250 | 11.188 | 5.062 |
KC | 10.014 | 5.896 | 4.118 |
Stock Falling
Team | Week 4 Average | Week 5 Average | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
CIN | 10.111 | 16.063 | -5.952 |
NYJ | 16.583 | 21.188 | -4.605 |
CHI | 7.944 | 12.292 | -4.348 |
BAL | 9.694 | 13.979 | -4.285 |
DAL | 12.722 | 16.792 | -4.070 |
Remember how I like to view the "Objective vs. Subjective" table as kind of a "Most Overrated" and "Most Underrated" teams list? It doesn't always work out that way — it's not a steadfast rule by any means — but this week it does correlate. Cincinnati and Chicago were the two most "overranked" teams last week.
Subjective Average
Subjective | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
Broncos | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.083 | 0.250 ![]() |
||
Seahawks | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.917 | -0.250 ![]() |
||
Saints | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.333 | 0.500 ![]() |
||
Patriots | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3.667 | 0.583 ![]() |
||
Chiefs | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5.417 | 2.833 ![]() |
||
Colts | 6 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 7.250 | 4.167 ![]() |
||
Bears | 9 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8.083 | -3.416 ![]() |
||
49ers | 8 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8.333 | 3.917 ![]() |
||
Lions | 10 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 9.250 | 6.583 ![]() |
||
Dolphins | 7 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 10.083 | -2.083 ![]() |
||
Packers | 12 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 11.083 | 0.167 ![]() |
||
Bengals | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 12.000 | -5.333 ![]() |
||
Texans | 15 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13.000 | -1.833 ![]() |
||
Ravens | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13.333 | -4.833 ![]() |
||
Titans | 13 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 13.667 | 3.000 ![]() |
||
Chargers | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16.417 | 2.666 ![]() |
||
Cowboys | 18 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 16.583 | -3.916 ![]() |
||
Falcons | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17.917 | -3.250 ![]() |
||
Browns | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19.333 | 6.334 ![]() |
||
Bills | 23 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20.167 | 3.583 ![]() |
||
Panthers | 21 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21.083 | -0.250 ![]() |
||
Cardinals | 19 | 25 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 22.250 | 0.917 ![]() |
||
Jets | 22 | 21 | 20 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 23.500 | -3.333 ![]() |
||
Eagles | 27 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 24.000 | -3.583 ![]() |
||
Vikings | 24 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 24.750 | 3.250 ![]() |
||
Rams | 26 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 25.167 | -4.000 ![]() |
||
Redskins | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 25.417 | 1.416 ![]() |
||
Steelers | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29.000 | -1.750 ![]() |
||
Raiders | 28 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29.167 | -0.417 ![]() |
||
Giants | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29.333 | -1.916 ![]() |
||
Buccaneers | 31 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30.417 | 0.000 ![]() |
||
Jaguars | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32.000 | 0.000 ![]() |
Observations:
- SPORTING NEWS, YOU HAD ONE JOB! If it weren't for SN, the Broncos and Seahawks would be a unanimous 1-2.
- A number of fans like to keep discounting the Patriots, saying they haven't looked good at all this year. Don't tell that to the rankers.
- Two teams from the AFC West make up the top five.
- We're back to parity in the top 12: Six teams from each the NFC and AFC.
- Interesting how the Chargers, with their terrible defense, were able to hold the Cowboys scoreless for three quarters, and yet some rankers still have the Cowboys higher. Am I just an annoyed homer? Probably.
- Mike Florio over at Pro Football Talk really wants to believe in the Browns, huh?
- Same story at NFL.com with the Bills. It wasn't that long ago when pundits were sure the Bills were the fourth-worst team in the league.
Subjective Standard Deviation
Subjective | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
Jaguars | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 0.000 | 0.000 ![]() |
||
Seahawks | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.276 | -0.195 ![]() |
||
Broncos | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.276 | -0.195 ![]() |
||
Saints | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.471 | -0.427 ![]() |
||
Patriots | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0.471 | -0.693 ![]() |
||
Steelers | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 0.577 | -1.343 ![]() |
||
Chiefs | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0.862 | -0.777 ![]() |
||
Chargers | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 0.954 | 0.092 ![]() |
||
Buccaneers | 31 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 0.954 | -0.233 ![]() |
||
Giants | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 1.106 | -0.871 ![]() |
||
Raiders | 28 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 1.280 | -1.208 ![]() |
||
Redskins | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 1.320 | -0.755 ![]() |
||
Bears | 9 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 1.382 | 0.276 ![]() |
||
Falcons | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 1.605 | 0.426 ![]() |
||
Rams | 26 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 1.625 | 0.053 ![]() |
||
Colts | 6 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 1.639 | -0.252 ![]() |
||
Panthers | 21 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 1.706 | -0.066 ![]() |
||
Vikings | 24 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 27 | 25 | 23 | 1.876 | 0.243 ![]() |
||
Browns | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 1.886 | 0.091 ![]() |
||
Eagles | 27 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 2.121 | 0.021 ![]() |
||
Cardinals | 19 | 25 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 2.126 | 0.175 ![]() |
||
Ravens | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 2.134 | -0.045 ![]() |
||
Lions | 10 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 2.203 | 1.305 ![]() |
||
49ers | 8 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 2.285 | -0.135 ![]() |
||
Titans | 13 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 2.285 | 1.435 ![]() |
||
Bills | 23 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 2.339 | 0.650 ![]() |
||
Texans | 15 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 2.381 | 0.518 ![]() |
||
Dolphins | 7 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 2.397 | 0.237 ![]() |
||
Jets | 22 | 21 | 20 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 2.432 | -0.012 ![]() |
||
Bengals | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 2.450 | 1.271 ![]() |
||
Cowboys | 18 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 2.499 | 0.704 ![]() |
||
Packers | 12 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 2.722 | -0.110 ![]() |
Observations:
- Unanimous that the Jaguars are the worst. No argument here.
- Pretty good consensus of the top five teams in the league right now.
- Chargers are right in the middle of the rankings, and very consistently so.
- Six of the eight most consistent, and six of the eight least consistent teams are in the AFC. So apparently 1/3 of the AFC is pretty obvious, and another 1/3 is an enigma.
Objective Average
Objective | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
Seahawks | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2.375 | 0.403 ![]() |
||
Broncos | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.625 | -0.958 ![]() |
||
Saints | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3.375 | 2.292 ![]() |
||
Colts | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5.875 | 3.903 ![]() |
||
Patriots | 7 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 6.250 | -1.028 ![]() |
||
Chiefs | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6.375 | 5.403 ![]() |
||
Titans | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8.625 | 11.264 ![]() |
||
Dolphins | 19 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 9.625 | -2.625 ![]() |
||
Panthers | 6 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10.000 | 0.667 ![]() |
||
Texans | 17 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 11.125 | 1.319 ![]() |
||
Lions | 13 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 13.125 | 3.542 ![]() |
||
Chargers | 12 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 13.750 | 7.917 ![]() |
||
Ravens | 23 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 14.625 | -3.736 ![]() |
||
Bills | 10 | 20 | 10 | 22 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 15.125 | 2.986 ![]() |
||
Falcons | 14 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 27 | 16 | 19 | 16.250 | -3.361 ![]() |
||
Bears | 11 | 28 | 20 | 12 | 23 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 16.500 | -5.278 ![]() |
||
Packers | 9 | 19 | 23 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 16.875 | -0.986 ![]() |
||
Cowboys | 16 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 21 | 17.000 | -4.222 ![]() |
||
Browns | 24 | 16 | 16 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 17.375 | 4.514 ![]() |
||
49ers | 18 | 23 | 15 | 18 | 10 | 25 | 20 | 13 | 17.750 | 0.694 ![]() |
||
Jets | 20 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 18.875 | -5.875 ![]() |
||
Bengals | 15 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20.125 | -6.569 ![]() |
||
Eagles | 26 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 21 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 22.250 | 0.750 ![]() |
||
Cardinals | 27 | 22 | 19 | 24 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 23.000 | 1.889 ![]() |
||
Buccaneers | 22 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 14 | 23 | 27 | 23.500 | -2.722 ![]() |
||
Vikings | 21 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 24.125 | 2.208 ![]() |
||
Redskins | 28 | 27 | 29 | 23 | 29 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 26.500 | 2.167 ![]() |
||
Giants | 31 | 17 | 28 | 29 | 24 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 27.250 | -3.917 ![]() |
||
Rams | 30 | 32 | 26 | 31 | 16 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 28.125 | -3.347 ![]() |
||
Steelers | 25 | 25 | 30 | 28 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 28.875 | -1.653 ![]() |
||
Raiders | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29.000 | -4.556 ![]() |
||
Jaguars | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31.750 | -1.083 ![]() |
Observations:
- Now using DVOA for the Football Outsiders rank.
- Seahawks surpass the Broncos this week for the "Objective" top spot.
- Most of this is because BeatGraphs ranks the Broncos as 11th, even though Denver is undefeated.
- Despite being undefeated, Denver's wins have come against weak teams. Football Outsiders lists the Broncos as having the third-easiest schedule so far. This could account for the low BeatGraphs ranking.
- Team Efficiency really likes the Eagles.
- Wow, four of nine sites have the Panthers listed 10th or better.
Objective Standard Deviation
Objective | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
Jaguars | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 0.433 | -1.828 ![]() |
||
Seahawks | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.857 | -1.582 ![]() |
||
Colts | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1.053 | -2.468 ![]() |
||
Saints | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1.495 | -0.665 ![]() |
||
Titans | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 1.495 | -3.062 ![]() |
||
Raiders | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 1.500 | -3.447 ![]() |
||
Redskins | 28 | 27 | 29 | 23 | 29 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 2.345 | -0.955 ![]() |
||
Steelers | 25 | 25 | 30 | 28 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 2.472 | -1.765 ![]() |
||
Vikings | 21 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 2.522 | -0.103 ![]() |
||
Cardinals | 27 | 22 | 19 | 24 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 2.739 | -0.739 ![]() |
||
Bengals | 15 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 2.804 | -3.947 ![]() |
||
Chiefs | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 2.870 | -3.709 ![]() |
||
Chargers | 12 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 3.152 | 0.992 ![]() |
||
Cowboys | 16 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 21 | 3.240 | -0.152 ![]() |
||
Broncos | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3.314 | 2.647 ![]() |
||
Browns | 24 | 16 | 16 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 3.462 | -0.233 ![]() |
||
Patriots | 7 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3.700 | -0.210 ![]() |
||
Texans | 17 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 3.756 | -1.054 ![]() |
||
Jets | 20 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 3.919 | -1.738 ![]() |
||
Buccaneers | 22 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 14 | 23 | 27 | 3.937 | -1.350 ![]() |
||
Bills | 10 | 20 | 10 | 22 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 4.136 | -0.659 ![]() |
||
Giants | 31 | 17 | 28 | 29 | 24 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 4.380 | -2.816 ![]() |
||
49ers | 18 | 23 | 15 | 18 | 10 | 25 | 20 | 13 | 4.684 | -1.392 ![]() |
||
Falcons | 14 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 27 | 16 | 19 | 4.737 | -0.081 ![]() |
||
Rams | 30 | 32 | 26 | 31 | 16 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 4.885 | 0.836 ![]() |
||
Lions | 13 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 5.061 | -1.420 ![]() |
||
Dolphins | 19 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 5.290 | 1.318 ![]() |
||
Panthers | 6 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 5.454 | -0.835 ![]() |
||
Packers | 9 | 19 | 23 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 6.431 | -1.133 ![]() |
||
Bears | 11 | 28 | 20 | 12 | 23 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 6.577 | -0.828 ![]() |
||
Eagles | 26 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 21 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 6.906 | -0.243 ![]() |
||
Ravens | 23 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 8.321 | 0.218 ![]() |
Observations:
- At least the Jaguars are consistent.
- The Ravens are all over the board.
- If you take out the Team Efficiency rating, Philadelphia is actually relatively consistent in the mid-20s.
- Packers and Bears are a statistical mess.
Overall Average
Subj vs Obj | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
Broncos | 1.083 | 2.625 | 1.854 | -0.354 ![]() |
||
Seahawks | 1.917 | 2.375 | 2.146 | 0.076 ![]() |
||
Saints | 3.333 | 3.375 | 3.354 | 1.396 ![]() |
||
Patriots | 3.667 | 6.250 | 4.958 | -0.222 ![]() |
||
Chiefs | 5.417 | 6.375 | 5.896 | 4.118 ![]() |
||
Colts | 7.250 | 5.875 | 6.563 | 4.034 ![]() |
||
Dolphins | 10.083 | 9.625 | 9.854 | -2.354 ![]() |
||
Titans | 13.667 | 8.625 | 11.146 | 7.132 ![]() |
||
Lions | 9.250 | 13.125 | 11.188 | 5.062 ![]() |
||
Texans | 13.000 | 11.125 | 12.063 | -0.257 ![]() |
||
Bears | 8.083 | 16.500 | 12.292 | -4.348 ![]() |
||
49ers | 8.333 | 17.750 | 13.042 | 2.305 ![]() |
||
Ravens | 13.333 | 14.625 | 13.979 | -4.285 ![]() |
||
Packers | 11.083 | 16.875 | 13.979 | -0.410 ![]() |
||
Chargers | 16.417 | 13.750 | 15.083 | 5.292 ![]() |
||
Panthers | 21.083 | 10.000 | 15.542 | 0.208 ![]() |
||
Bengals | 12.000 | 20.125 | 16.063 | -5.952 ![]() |
||
Cowboys | 16.583 | 17.000 | 16.792 | -4.070 ![]() |
||
Falcons | 17.917 | 16.250 | 17.083 | -3.305 ![]() |
||
Bills | 20.167 | 15.125 | 17.646 | 3.285 ![]() |
||
Browns | 19.333 | 17.375 | 18.354 | 5.424 ![]() |
||
Jets | 23.500 | 18.875 | 21.188 | -4.605 ![]() |
||
Cardinals | 22.250 | 23.000 | 22.625 | 1.403 ![]() |
||
Eagles | 24.000 | 22.250 | 23.125 | -1.417 ![]() |
||
Vikings | 24.750 | 24.125 | 24.438 | 2.729 ![]() |
||
Redskins | 25.417 | 26.500 | 25.958 | 1.792 ![]() |
||
Rams | 25.167 | 28.125 | 26.646 | -3.674 ![]() |
||
Buccaneers | 30.417 | 23.500 | 26.958 | -1.361 ![]() |
||
Giants | 29.333 | 27.250 | 28.292 | -2.917 ![]() |
||
Steelers | 29.000 | 28.875 | 28.938 | -1.702 ![]() |
||
Raiders | 29.167 | 29.000 | 29.083 | -2.486 ![]() |
||
Jaguars | 32.000 | 31.750 | 31.875 | -0.542 ![]() |
Observations:
- The top six is pretty well defined.
- Sharp delineation from Colts to Dolphins, then again from Browns to Jets.
- It looks like there are only two powerhouse NFC teams so far this year.
- Almost three spots separate the Raiders from the Jaguars.
- Ravens and Packers have the same overall average.
Overall Standard Deviation
Subj vs Obj | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
Jaguars | 32.000 | 31.750 | 0.300 | -1.320 ![]() |
||
Seahawks | 1.917 | 2.375 | 0.625 | -1.101 ![]() |
||
Saints | 3.333 | 3.375 | 1.014 | -0.798 ![]() |
||
Raiders | 29.167 | 29.000 | 1.375 | -2.933 ![]() |
||
Colts | 7.250 | 5.875 | 1.584 | -1.247 ![]() |
||
Steelers | 29.000 | 28.875 | 1.627 | -1.504 ![]() |
||
Redskins | 25.417 | 26.500 | 1.878 | -0.942 ![]() |
||
Chiefs | 5.417 | 6.375 | 1.990 | -2.820 ![]() |
||
Vikings | 24.750 | 24.125 | 2.179 | -0.092 ![]() |
||
Broncos | 1.083 | 2.625 | 2.238 | 1.651 ![]() |
||
Cardinals | 22.250 | 23.000 | 2.418 | -0.426 ![]() |
||
Chargers | 16.417 | 13.750 | 2.496 | 0.481 ![]() |
||
Patriots | 3.667 | 6.250 | 2.685 | -0.064 ![]() |
||
Browns | 19.333 | 17.375 | 2.801 | -0.544 ![]() |
||
Cowboys | 16.583 | 17.000 | 2.826 | 0.223 ![]() |
||
Giants | 29.333 | 27.250 | 3.074 | -2.265 ![]() |
||
Texans | 13.000 | 11.125 | 3.144 | -0.363 ![]() |
||
Titans | 13.667 | 8.625 | 3.182 | -0.261 ![]() |
||
Falcons | 17.917 | 16.250 | 3.345 | -0.048 ![]() |
||
Rams | 25.167 | 28.125 | 3.637 | 0.226 ![]() |
||
Dolphins | 10.083 | 9.625 | 3.833 | 0.723 ![]() |
||
Jets | 23.500 | 18.875 | 3.851 | -1.599 ![]() |
||
Bills | 20.167 | 15.125 | 4.028 | -0.362 ![]() |
||
Lions | 9.250 | 13.125 | 4.094 | -0.222 ![]() |
||
Buccaneers | 30.417 | 23.500 | 4.269 | -1.692 ![]() |
||
Eagles | 24.000 | 22.250 | 4.745 | -0.360 ![]() |
||
Bengals | 12.000 | 20.125 | 4.753 | -0.899 ![]() |
||
Packers | 11.083 | 16.875 | 5.389 | -0.474 ![]() |
||
Ravens | 13.333 | 14.625 | 5.552 | -0.127 ![]() |
||
49ers | 8.333 | 17.750 | 5.761 | 0.417 ![]() |
||
Bears | 8.083 | 16.500 | 5.954 | 0.061 ![]() |
||
Panthers | 21.083 | 10.000 | 6.567 | -0.071 ![]() |
Observations:
- Consistency towards the extremes.
- Funny how the Eagles and Ravens are at the bottom of this list when their Subjective and Objective rankings are so close to each other. Just shows the individual rankings aren't consistent.
- Seven of the nine least consistent teams are NFC teams.
Difference in Averages
Subj vs Obj | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|||
49ers | 8.333 | 17.750 | 9.417 | 3.223 ![]() |
||
Bears | 8.083 | 16.500 | 8.417 | 1.861 ![]() |
||
Bengals | 12.000 | 20.125 | 8.125 | 1.236 ![]() |
||
Packers | 11.083 | 16.875 | 5.792 | 1.153 ![]() |
||
Lions | 9.250 | 13.125 | 3.875 | 3.042 ![]() |
||
Rams | 25.167 | 28.125 | 2.958 | -0.653 ![]() |
||
Patriots | 3.667 | 6.250 | 2.583 | 1.611 ![]() |
||
Broncos | 1.083 | 2.625 | 1.542 | 1.209 ![]() |
||
Ravens | 13.333 | 14.625 | 1.292 | -1.097 ![]() |
||
Redskins | 25.417 | 26.500 | 1.083 | -0.750 ![]() |
||
Chiefs | 5.417 | 6.375 | 0.958 | -2.570 ![]() |
||
Cardinals | 22.250 | 23.000 | 0.750 | -0.972 ![]() |
||
Seahawks | 1.917 | 2.375 | 0.458 | -0.653 ![]() |
||
Cowboys | 16.583 | 17.000 | 0.417 | 0.306 ![]() |
||
Saints | 3.333 | 3.375 | 0.042 | -1.791 ![]() |
||
Steelers | 29.000 | 28.875 | -0.125 | -0.097 ![]() |
||
Raiders | 29.167 | 29.000 | -0.167 | 4.139 ![]() |
||
Jaguars | 32.000 | 31.750 | -0.250 | 1.083 ![]() |
||
Dolphins | 10.083 | 9.625 | -0.458 | 0.542 ![]() |
||
Vikings | 24.750 | 24.125 | -0.625 | 1.042 ![]() |
||
Colts | 7.250 | 5.875 | -1.375 | 0.264 ![]() |
||
Falcons | 17.917 | 16.250 | -1.667 | 0.111 ![]() |
||
Eagles | 24.000 | 22.250 | -1.750 | -4.333 ![]() |
||
Texans | 13.000 | 11.125 | -1.875 | -3.153 ![]() |
||
Browns | 19.333 | 17.375 | -1.958 | 1.820 ![]() |
||
Giants | 29.333 | 27.250 | -2.083 | 2.000 ![]() |
||
Chargers | 16.417 | 13.750 | -2.667 | -5.250 ![]() |
||
Jets | 23.500 | 18.875 | -4.625 | 2.542 ![]() |
||
Bills | 20.167 | 15.125 | -5.042 | 0.597 ![]() |
||
Titans | 13.667 | 8.625 | -5.042 | -8.264 ![]() |
||
Buccaneers | 30.417 | 23.500 | -6.917 | 2.722 ![]() |
||
Panthers | 21.083 | 10.000 | -11.083 | -0.916 ![]() |
Observations:
- The 49ers looked good this week, but apparently it wasn't as good as pundits like to think. Their "overranking" actually grew.
- The 49ers, Bears and Bengals are ridiculously "overranked" and their success should be taken with a grain of salt.
- Just imagine if the Panthers could put things together. They'd be scary good.
Best Matchups for Week 5
Opponents (Ranking) | Game Time | Ranking Difference |
---|---|---|
Bills (17.646) at Browns (18.354) | Thu, Oct. 3, 2013, 8:25 p.m. ET | 0.069 |
Texans (12.063) at 49ers (13.042) | Sun, Oct. 6, 2013, 8:30 p.m. ET | 0.979 |
Lions (11.188) at Packers (13.979) | Sun, Oct. 6, 2013, 1 p.m. ET | 2.791 |
Whoever would have thought the Browns and Bills would be headlining the "Best Matchups" list? Not this guy.
Worst Matchups for Week 5
Opponents (Ranking) | Game Time | Ranking Difference |
---|---|---|
Broncos (1.854) at Cowboys (16.792) | Sun, Oct. 6, 2013, 4:25 p.m. ET | 14.938 |
Chargers (15.083) at Raiders (29.083) | Sun, Oct. 6, 2013, 11:35 p.m. ET | 14.000 |
Patriots (4.958) at Bengals (16.063) | Sun, Oct. 6, 2013, 1 p.m. ET | 11.105 |
I thought last week that Jacksonville would be on the "Worst Matchups" list every week, but I was wrong. I think many expected the Broncos/Cowboys and Patriots/Bengals games to be closer than the rankings indicate.
Sources
- ESPN
- Fox
- CBS
- USA Today
- Sports Illustrated
- ProFootballTalk
- NFL.com
- SportingNews
- SB Nation
- Associated Press
- ProFootballFocus
- Football Outsiders
- Team Efficiency
- Team Rankings
- Sagarin
- BeatGraphs
- Aikman Efficiency
- Pro Football Reference
- Massey
More from SB Nation NFL:
• Bucs officially dump Josh Freeman
• Week 5 picks: Rise of the underdogs | Watchability Index
• In which the Eagles get drunk and give up 2,400 rushing yards | Breaking Madden
• The Notebook: What makes Russell Wilson so good
• Eugene Monroe traded to Ravens | Steelers get Levi Brown
• NFL power rankings: Saints go marchin’