The top two quarterbacks in the 2015 NFL Draft will be the first two guys off the board, according to the latest mock draft from Todd McShay. The ESPN analyst has Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota going to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tennessee Titans, respectively, with the first two picks next month.
In his previous two mock drafts, McShay had the 2014 Heisman Trophy winner slated to fall out of the top five picks and instead land with the New York Jets at No. 6 overall. This isn't his first mock draft from McShay with two quarterbacks at the top of the draft order, though.
McShay previously projected Mariota as the No. 1 pick for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the 2015 NFL Draft in his first mock draft of the year in December while Florida State's Jameis Winston landed with the Titans at No. 2. It wasn't until February when he updated his mock draft again, and from then on, Mariota was outside the top five picks.
One other notable mover in McShay's 4.0 mock draft is Amari Cooper, who climbed from No. 10 to No. 3 and back ahead of West Virginia's Kevin White. After picking Cooper to go with the fourth pick in his second mock draft, McShay put Cooper behind White and dropped him to the St. Louis Rams with the tenth pick. Cooper's back on top now, though, and slated to go to the Jacksonville Jaguars after the quarterbacks are off the board.
It's not the worst mock draft for White, either. The West Virginia receiver is projected to go to the Chicago Bears with the No. 7 pick and Louisville's DeVante Parker instead goes to the Rams at No. 10, making three wide receivers in the first 10 selections.
Here's a look at McShay's top 10 picks:
1. Jameis Winston, QB - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
McShay says Winston has a "clear advantage" over Mariota when strictly evaluating the play of the two players. The question is whether or not the team will be okay with the off-the-field troubles that Winston had during his time at Florida State. Buccaneers owner Joel Glazer said last week at the NFL's Annual Meeting that he was comfortable with either quarterback and head coach Lovie Smith echoed those sentiments.
2. Marcus Mariota, QB - Tennessee Titans
Mariota to the Titans is something McShay has been hesitant to project because he doesn't feel as though the Oregon quarterback is the best fit in Ken Whisenhunt's style of offense. However, Mariota could help the Titans to better deal with a struggling offensive line than incumbent starter Zach Mettenberger.
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3. Amari Cooper, WR - Jacksonville Jaguars
Most mock drafts have pegged the Jaguars to look to improve on the defensive side of the ball, but McShay thinks the team's moves in the offseason have the defensive line looking ready to go. After re-signing Tyson Alualu and signing Jared Odrick in free agency, the Jaguars could instead look to add the Biletnikoff Award winner to help second-year quarterback Blake Bortles better adjust to the NFL.
4. Leonard Williams, DE - Oakland Raiders
McShay calls wide receiver the biggest need for the Raiders, but with three offensive players off the board with the first three picks, the Raiders are better positioned to address the team's second-biggest need: Defensive end. McShay calls Williams the "best all-around defensive player in the draft" and he can instantly upgrade the Raiders' defensive line and play multiple positions for the team.
5. Dante Fowler Jr., OLB - Washington
Brian Orakpo left to join the Titans and Washington could use another pass rusher to fill in at outside linebacker. With three offensive players and Leonard Williams off the board, Washington essentially has its pick of 3-4 pass rushers. McShay thinks a larger outside linebacker like Fowler is the type of player that general manager Scot McCloughan tends to favor.
6. Randy Gregory, OLB - New York Jets
Gregory has been in the headlines for the wrong reasons at the end of March after it was revealed that the Nebraska pass rusher failed a drug test at the NFL Combine. McShay doesn't believe that will affect his stock too much, though, and called Gregory the "top pure edge rusher" in the draft class. In the Jets' defense, Gregory will be able to pin his ears back and just get after the quarterback from a standing position, which is exactly how the raw pass rusher can be best used.
7. Kevin White, WR - Chicago Bears
McShay previously had White as the first wide receiver off the board in his mock draft, but switched back to Cooper at the top of the class. In his latest mock, he said that the reason for the swap was that White just wasn't quite as polished or as consistent as his Alabama counterpart. With Brandon Marshall shipped off to the Jets, the Bears are in position to pair another big receiver with Alshon Jeffery, rather than rely on the contributions of Marquess Wilson as a starter.
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8. Shane Ray, DE - Atlanta Falcons
After Winston with the No. 1 pick, the next six picks all featured new selections from McShay's third mock draft. Ray to the Falcons isn't new, though, and the rationale for the pick isn't new, either. Atlanta still needs help with its pass rush and with Fowler and Gregory off the board, it's between Ray and Vic Beasley for the No. 8 selection. McShay favors Ray over Beasley because the Missouri pass rusher has "better length and is more relentless."
9. Brandon Scherff, OT - New York Giants
McShay stuck with Ray at No. 8 and is sticking with Scherff at No. 9 as well. The ESPN analyst called Scherff "the ultimate tough guy" which is the type of offensive lineman that Tom Coughlin loves and can help Justin Pugh and Weston Richburg find more natural fits along the New York offensive line. While McShay notes that Scherff's lack of length could end up forcing the Iowa lineman inside to guard, he thinks that Scherff could be an "excellent" guard in the NFL as well.
10. DeVante Parker, WR - St. Louis Rams
In previous mocks, McShay projected the Rams to take either Cooper or White with the No. 10 pick, but even with both players off the board, he still thinks the team addresses wide receiver by taking Parker. If the team doesn't elect to upgrade at receiver, McShay also thinks that a trade up to secure Mariota as the team's quarterback of the future is a scenario that makes sense due largely to the team's apparent desire to add an athletic quarterback with running ability.
SB Nation's Dan Kadar released his most recent mock draft on Monday and also has Mariota climbing his way back up the boards. He also projects Mariota to go to the Titans with the second pick and also has the Raiders slated to take Williams with the fourth pick. However, he only has one wide receiver in the top 10 and the first one doesn't come off the board until No. 9 overall.