clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2015 NFL picks against the spread, Week 3: Lions, Raiders eyeing upsets

New, comments

Place your bets!

This week features three games with double-digit spreads. That ought to tell all you need to know about Week 3. It's a little flat this week in the NFL, at least as far as marquee matchups go, but that doesn't mean there still won't be plenty of action. Hell, it's usually weeks like this where we get some wild game going down to the wire, decided by some corner of the rulebook we forgot. Weeks like this can also produce an upset, and with those three big spreads, it's got the potential to get really crazy.

A double-digit spread might not be enough for two of those games. The Saints are on the road to play the Panthers, and they're doing it without Drew Brees. That's right, it's Luke McCown time for the Saints! I'd hate to think about the spread would be if the Panthers roster weren't so totally devoid of skill players. The predicted 43.5 points feels generous for this game, and both of these teams are on a hot streak when it comes to dull, low-scoring football games in the exciting NFC South. The total has gone under in 10 of the Saints' last 12 division games on the road. It's been under in 10 of the Panthers' last 11 division games period.

Jimmy Clausen and the Bears get fed to the Seahawks this week, without Alshon Jeffery. It's Seattle's home opener, Kam Chancellor is back and they're still looking for their first win. You're probably better off looking for a prop bet on whether or not Clausen survives.

SIGN UP FOR OUR NFL NEWSLETTER

Get all kinds of NFL stories, rumors, game coverage, and inane comments from the NFL media in your inbox every day.

UPSET PICK: Okay, so for the third week in a row, I'm picking the Jaguars. It worked last week, but let's be clear that I'm picking them to cover a 14-point spread this week, not beat the Patriots in New England. Nobody's that crazy, not even Jaguars fans. Jacksonville is 4-1 against the spread in their last five.

BEST BET: You might actually make a little money if you bet on the Lions to cover the slim three-point spread against the Broncos. Peyton Manning is playing like crap, and Gary Kubiak is sticking with his scheme. More than anything, it just kind of feels like Jim Caldwell is close to stumbling into his first win of the season, on Sunday Night Football no less. I don't know why oddsmakers are still so enamored with Manning and the Broncos, but they are. And that could be your meal ticket.

A RAVENS WIN: How much stock do you put in trends? Baltimore is 15-1 in their last 16 September home games. They're 5-1 straight up in their last six home games against an AFC North opponent. They're also a steaming pile of garbage right now, completely lost on defense and still painfully unaware that all the talk about Joe Flacco's eliteness is (mostly) a joke. But this is probably a good week to think they'll continue their hot streak at home. The Bengals have been playing well -- Andy Dalton has zero interceptions so far -- so I feel like they're due for one of those games where they remind you that the wheels can come off at any time ... not just in the playoffs.

Week 3 Line Pick
ATL vs DAL ATL -2 ATL
IND vs TEN IND -3.5 IND
OAK vs CLE CLE -3.5 OAK
CIN vs BAL BAL -3 CIN
JAX vs NE NE -14 JAX
NO vs CAR CAR -10 CAR
PHI vs NYJ NYJ -2.5 NYJ
TB vs HOU HOU -7 TB
SD vs MIN MIN -1 SD
PIT vs STL PIT -2 PIT
SF vs ARZ ARZ -6.5 ARZ
BUF vs MIA MIA -3 BUF
CHI vs SEA SEA -15 SEA
DEN vs DET DEN -3 DET
KC vs GB GB -6.5 KC

Odds info via OddsShark.