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Teams have spent more than $1.5 billion on new contracts already, and free agency just started last Wednesday. Suffice to say, it's shaking things up in the 2016 NFL Draft. In some parts, at least. For much of the top five, free agency hasn't changed things too much. But deeper into the top 10, the free agency impact is apparent.
Several of the picks in this week's mock draft have changed because of free agency. The biggest change comes courtesy of Philadelphia, which moved into the top 10 following a blockbuster trade with the Miami Dolphins. Now holding the No. 8 pick, the Eagles can truly add a difference maker in the first round.
1. Tennessee Titans: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
Tennessee's moves in free agency thus far do nothing to dispel the notion that they'll be taking Tunsil with the first overall pick in the draft. He's the best player and helps finish off their offensive line. The real question is about who is second in line if Tennessee does the unexpected and picks someone else.
2. Cleveland Browns: Jared Goff, QB, Cal
After losing four starters in free agency, the Browns are officially rebuilding yet again. There's no better way to start a rebuild than with a new starting quarterback. It seems like the momentum for this pick is in favor of Carson Wentz, but Goff is the better player.
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3. San Diego Chargers: Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
It's easy to go back and forth with this pick. In one regard, Oregon's DeForest Buckner seems like a better fit for San Diego's defense. In another, Bosa grades out as the better player. That's why he's the choice. Pay no mind to his 40-yard dash times from the NFL Scouting Combine. Or his weight, for that matter. Bosa was slimmed down at 269 pounds, but should play more in the 280-pound range.
4. Dallas Cowboys: Jalen Ramsey, CB, Florida State
The Cowboys are in a position in the first round where they really can't go wrong. Bosa makes sense if he's there, UCLA linebacker Myles Jack would be a good pick and Ramsey would give them a huge upgrade in pass coverage.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
Although the Jaguars tried and failed a few times to sign a pass rusher in free agency, it would be hard to take one here and pass on Jack. With Paul Posluszny potentially entering his final season in Jacksonville, Jack's talent is needed. In passing on Buckner, the Jaguars could target someone like Kamalei Correa of Boise State or Oklahoma State's Emmanuel Ogbah in the second round.
6. Baltimore Ravens: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
After Kelechi Osemele spurned the Ravens in free agency, there is a hole on the offensive line. Although Eugene Monroe is under contract through 2018, he's been a disappointing player and has a very manageable deal after next season. That could allow the Ravens to pick Stanley, start him at guard and move him to tackle if Monroe is let go.
7. San Francisco 49ers: Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
Here's the question San Francisco's front office has to answer before the draft: Do you start with the quarterback, or build the rest of the foundation first? My opinion is the former because all the other pieces will be useless if the quarterback isn't in place. Wentz might need a year or two of development, but he has the ceiling of a franchise quarterback.
8. Philadelphia Eagles: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
Running back value be damned, Elliott is regarded as one of the draft's 10 best players by NFL evaluators. In dropping DeMarco Murray after one season and moving into the top 10, the Eagles are in a position to pick Elliott. He can do everything you want in a running back and will give Philadelphia a player to build the offense around.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Vernon Hargreaves, CB, Florida
The Buccaneers signed Robert Ayers to a three-year contract, so the need for a pass rusher is less pressing – though Tampa should still add someone else up front. But with Ayers on the roster, the Buccaneers can look at the secondary. Although Brent Grimes was added, his better days are behind him. Hargreaves is a shutdown corner who could be good on the outside or excel covering receivers on the inside.
10. New York Giants: Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
The Giants have spent big adding end Olivier Vernon, defensive tackle Damon Harrison and cornerback Janoris Jenkins on defense. They were all needed additions, but the Giants shouldn't stop there on defense. Lee can play on the weak side or at middle linebacker, and would give the Giants a playmaker on the second level.
11. Chicago Bears: DeForest Buckner, DE, Oregon
The Bears have mastered free agency with reasonable deals for starting-caliber players in Danny Trevathan and Jerrell Freeman at middle linebacker, Akiem Hicks at defensive tackle, right tackle Bobby Massie and cornerback Tracy Porter. That leaves pass rusher and running back as arguably the team's two top needs heading into the draft. With Buckner still on the board, he's the choice. He can rush from the inside and outside and will let the defense have more variety up front.
12. New Orleans Saints: Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama
Reed's teammate A'Shawn Robinson has been a regular choice for the Saints, but Reed is just as good of a fit. In fact, coming out of Alabama, Reed is a little better at stopping the run. While he's a little more one-dimensional, his run defense is NFL-ready and it's what the Saints need.
13. Miami Dolphins: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
Sure, Miami brought in Byron Maxwell from Philadelphia, but he's much better as a No. 2 cornerback. Alexander can be the legit No. 1 the Dolphins have needed for a while. He's a confident cornerback with natural athleticism and speed.
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14. Oakland Raiders: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
Oakland is another team that has added a veteran corner – they signed Sean Smith to a four-year deal – that could still draft the position in the first round. Apple and Smith would give the Raiders a pair of big and talented cornerbacks. It may not be Lester Hayes/Mike Haynes 2.0, but it would the closest the Raiders have gotten since then.
15. Los Angeles Rams: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
If Jeff Fisher wants to stick with Case Keenum, a year of Lynch developing will be good for whatever coach gets the Rams job in 2017.
16. Detroit Lions: A’Shawn Robinson, DT, Alabama
Detroit has brought back veteran defensive tackles Haloti Ngata and Tyrunn Walker, but Robinson is far from a luxury pick. He's the long-term solution that neither of them are.
17. Atlanta Falcons: Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
As Atlanta continues to revamp its roster, linebacker is still a need. I don't see Sean Weatherspoon or Paul Worrilow on one-year contracts as being the answer either. Ragland can be a force in the middle, and really set the tone on defense.
18. Indianapolis Colts: Leonard Floyd, OLB, Georgia
With Freeman off to Chicago, the Colts will need to find a linebacker, but there just isn't another one in the middle with the value here. Instead, they could target a pass rusher like Floyd to create pressure off the edge.
19. Buffalo Bills: Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
On last week's MtD podcast, Rankins was compared to Sheldon Richardson of the New York Jets. As a big, mobile and athletic defensive tackle, Rankins fits that mold. For the Bills he could work in the five-technique role just fine.
20. New York Jets: Noah Spence, OLB, Eastern Kentucky
The Jets need a pass rusher, so a drop by Spence could stop here. Don't pay too much attention to Spence's average timing numbers this offseason. His ability shows up on the field. Spence can create pressure from an outside linebacker spot or with his hand down.
21. Washington: Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
If the three best cornerbacks are off the board, Washington could target a defensive lineman or wide receiver in the first round. It would be hard to pass up on Laquon Treadwell of Ole Miss, but Billings is a stellar nose tackle.
22. Houston Texans: Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
Houston cleaned up in free agency with the big-splash signings of quarterback Brock Osweiler and running back Lamar Miller. They were expensive but much-needed additions. That allows Houston to add talent on the defensive line with Dodd. Although he played a traditional 4-3 end role at Clemson, he has the size to bulk up and handle a three-man front.
23. Minnesota Vikings: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
Absolutely any Treadwell fall in the draft should stop with Minnesota. The Vikings would love to add Treadwell, a physical receiver with good hands and body control to pull in tough catches.
24. Cincinnati Bengals: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
As expected, the Bengals lost Mohamed Sanu and Marvin Jones in free agency. Coleman can alleviate those losses. He's a big-play wideout who can get vertical with his speed or create separation underneath with his shiftiness and athleticism.
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: Vonn Bell, S, Ohio State
If the top corners and defensive linemen are all gone, the Steelers could turn to the draft's best pure safety in Bell. Mike Mitchell is an average player and the re-signing of Robert Golden doesn't offer much excitement. Bell is proven as a coverage safety and got better every year at Ohio State in run support.
26. Seattle Seahawks: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
Left tackle Russell Okung is still out on the open market, and if he signs elsewhere, Seattle needs to find his replacement. In this scenario, Conklin is still available and could slide into the starting job.
27. Green Bay Packers: Kenny Clark, DT, UCLA
The Packers may have given multi-year contracts to Mike Daniels and Letroy Guion, but they still need a versatile lineman on the front of the defense. Clark is capable of playing over the nose or at end, and showed it in UCLA's three-man front.
28. Kansas City Chiefs: William Jackson, CB, Houston
The Chiefs lost Sean Smith to division rival Oakland, but there are some options to find his replacement. Sure, this would mean Kansas City has picked a cornerback in the first round two consecutive years. But last year's defense showed how much it needs two lockdown corners.
29. Arizona Cardinals: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
Arizona has been pretty quiet in free agency, so we'll see if a need up front changes before the draft. If it doesn't, the Cardinals should pounce on Lawson if he's available. The Clemson product's draft range is all over the place, but he would be at home rushing the passer for Arizona.
30. Carolina Panthers: Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana
I can't help but continue with an offensive tackle for the Panthers. Don't pay much attention to the second-round tender the Panthers gave current right tackle Mike Remmers. It was a cheap deal that no other team would imagine matching. A player like Spriggs should easily beat him out for the job.
31. Denver Broncos: Robert Nkemdiche, DT, Ole Miss
After losing Malik Jackson to the Jaguars, Denver needs a defensive lineman who can create havoc up front. At Ole Miss, Nkemdiche showed flashes of being a dominant and disruptive force up front. As a pro, it will just be a matter of making sure his past issues are behind him.