clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

NFL predictions, Week 13: Betting trends, odds updates

The computer was almost perfect Thursday, and aims to do the same Sunday. If it is accurate, none of the Broncos, Patriots, Colts, Eagles or 49ers will cover their Week 13 spread.


The Odds Shark NFL prediction computer said the Cowboys would beat Oakland by seven and that the Ravens would beat the Steelers by two. After seeing both of those predictions hit, is this the week the computer takes it to the next level and churns out a ton of profits?

"The Steelers pick was especially impressive, because it picked a 21-19 final in a game that ended up 22-20," said Jack Randall, who has helped program the computer to spit out the predictions.

"It was out to lunch in the first game Thursday, picking the Packers to win by a single point, but the formula didn't properly weigh the impact of Aaron Rodgers sitting."

Sunday sees Tennessee continuing its 5-0 ATS run on the road, winning a squeaker in Indianapolis. And the computer likes road teams to win in the two games where betting lines were even (Chicago to win at Minnesota and Cincinnati to win at San Diego).

The computer believes New England will cover a big road spread at Houston and extend their career mark to 5-1 against the Texans. Denver will beat Kansas City for the second time in three weeks, but won't cover the 5.5-point spread, according to the formula.

In the Monday Nighter, the computer believes the Seahawks will hold off New Orleans in a high-scoring 31-30 affair. Both teams have been profitable Monday Night bets, but the Seahawks see a terrible trend of 2-11-1 ATS in the past 14 seasons after they come off a bye week.

See the NFL Week 13 picks and trends on every game below, all courtesy of Odds Shark.

Sunday picks

Jacksonville (4.3) at Cleveland (14.4)

Tennessee (21.8) at Indianapolis (21.7)

Chicago (25.2) at Minnesota (19)

Miami (18.6) at NY Jets (11.4)

Arizona (23.9) at Philadelphia (22.6)

Tampa Bay (14.5) at Carolina (27.5)

New England (26) at Houston (13.6)

Atlanta (15.1) at Buffalo (18.9)

St. Louis (21.5) at San Francisco (28.2)

Denver (36.3) at Kansas City (32.2)

Cincinnati (27) at San Diego (22)

NY Giants (17.1) at Washington (15.5)

Monday Night Pick

New Orleans (29.9) at Seattle (31.4)

NFL Week 13 Trends

Tampa Bay 41 at Carolina -10

Bucs 6-0 ATS pasts six as double-digit road underdogs

Panthers are 6-1 ATS past seven divisional games

Jacksonville 40.5 at Cleveland -7

Jaguars covered three straight on the road

Tennessee 45 at Indianapolis -4

Titans 1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS past 10 vs Colts

Colts are 7-1 ATS past 8 vs AFC South foes

Chicago OFF at Minnesota OFF

OVER is 10-2 past 12 Bears road games

OVER is 7-1 past eight Vikings home games

Miami 38 at NY Jets -2.5

Dolphins 4-1 ATS past five visits to play Jets

Jets are 4-1 ATS past five home games

Arizona 48.5 at Philadelphia -3

Eagles are 9-3 ATS past 12 seasons following bye week

Cardinals are 3-0 SU and ATS past three vs Philly

New England at Houston

Pats lost three straight road games (1-5-1 ATS past seven on road)

Houston rides a 0-6 ATS home streak

Atlanta 48 at Buffalo -3.5

Falcons 0-5 SU & ATS past five as road dogs

Bills 8-2 ATS past 10 home games

St. Louis at San Francisco

Rams are 5-2 ATS past seven games vs 49ers

Rams have been shut out two of past four trips here

Denver at Kansas City

Broncos won nine straight divisional games SU

Chiefs 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS past nine divisional games

Cincinnati -1 at San Diego 45.5

Six of past seven meetings played OVER the total

Bengals are 1-6-1 ATS past eight road games

NY Giants at Washington

Redskins 5-0 ATS past five games vs Giants

Redskins 0-3 SU & ATS in divisional games in 2013

Monday Night Football Trends

New Orleans 45.5 at Seattle -4.5

Saints are 6-1 ATS past seven MNF games

Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS past MNF games (failed to cover vs Rams earlier in 2013)

Saints are just 2-6 ATS past eight road games

Seahawks won 13 straight SU at home

More from SB Nation NFL

NFL Week 13 expert picks | 3 teams can clinch playoff spot

Mike Tomlin and the foot of infamy

NFL Black Friday deal: Big discounts on players, coaches and tickets

Stephen White: How to fix Geno Smith

NFL Mock Draft: Where does Johnny Football go?