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The Odds Shark NFL prediction computer said the Cowboys would beat Oakland by seven and that the Ravens would beat the Steelers by two. After seeing both of those predictions hit, is this the week the computer takes it to the next level and churns out a ton of profits?
"The Steelers pick was especially impressive, because it picked a 21-19 final in a game that ended up 22-20," said Jack Randall, who has helped program the computer to spit out the predictions.
"It was out to lunch in the first game Thursday, picking the Packers to win by a single point, but the formula didn't properly weigh the impact of Aaron Rodgers sitting."
Sunday sees Tennessee continuing its 5-0 ATS run on the road, winning a squeaker in Indianapolis. And the computer likes road teams to win in the two games where betting lines were even (Chicago to win at Minnesota and Cincinnati to win at San Diego).
The computer believes New England will cover a big road spread at Houston and extend their career mark to 5-1 against the Texans. Denver will beat Kansas City for the second time in three weeks, but won't cover the 5.5-point spread, according to the formula.
In the Monday Nighter, the computer believes the Seahawks will hold off New Orleans in a high-scoring 31-30 affair. Both teams have been profitable Monday Night bets, but the Seahawks see a terrible trend of 2-11-1 ATS in the past 14 seasons after they come off a bye week.
See the NFL Week 13 picks and trends on every game below, all courtesy of Odds Shark.
Sunday picks
Jacksonville (4.3) at Cleveland (14.4)
Tennessee (21.8) at Indianapolis (21.7)
Chicago (25.2) at Minnesota (19)
Miami (18.6) at NY Jets (11.4)
Arizona (23.9) at Philadelphia (22.6)
Tampa Bay (14.5) at Carolina (27.5)
New England (26) at Houston (13.6)
Atlanta (15.1) at Buffalo (18.9)
St. Louis (21.5) at San Francisco (28.2)
Denver (36.3) at Kansas City (32.2)
Cincinnati (27) at San Diego (22)
NY Giants (17.1) at Washington (15.5)
Monday Night Pick
New Orleans (29.9) at Seattle (31.4)
NFL Week 13 Trends
Tampa Bay 41 at Carolina -10
Bucs 6-0 ATS pasts six as double-digit road underdogs
Panthers are 6-1 ATS past seven divisional games
Jacksonville 40.5 at Cleveland -7
Jaguars covered three straight on the road
Tennessee 45 at Indianapolis -4
Titans 1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS past 10 vs Colts
Colts are 7-1 ATS past 8 vs AFC South foes
Chicago OFF at Minnesota OFF
OVER is 10-2 past 12 Bears road games
OVER is 7-1 past eight Vikings home games
Miami 38 at NY Jets -2.5
Dolphins 4-1 ATS past five visits to play Jets
Jets are 4-1 ATS past five home games
Arizona 48.5 at Philadelphia -3
Eagles are 9-3 ATS past 12 seasons following bye week
Cardinals are 3-0 SU and ATS past three vs Philly
New England at Houston
Pats lost three straight road games (1-5-1 ATS past seven on road)
Houston rides a 0-6 ATS home streak
Atlanta 48 at Buffalo -3.5
Falcons 0-5 SU & ATS past five as road dogs
Bills 8-2 ATS past 10 home games
St. Louis at San Francisco
Rams are 5-2 ATS past seven games vs 49ers
Rams have been shut out two of past four trips here
Denver at Kansas City
Broncos won nine straight divisional games SU
Chiefs 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS past nine divisional games
Cincinnati -1 at San Diego 45.5
Six of past seven meetings played OVER the total
Bengals are 1-6-1 ATS past eight road games
NY Giants at Washington
Redskins 5-0 ATS past five games vs Giants
Redskins 0-3 SU & ATS in divisional games in 2013
Monday Night Football Trends
New Orleans 45.5 at Seattle -4.5
Saints are 6-1 ATS past seven MNF games
Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS past MNF games (failed to cover vs Rams earlier in 2013)
Saints are just 2-6 ATS past eight road games
Seahawks won 13 straight SU at home
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