Auburn visits Georgia at Sanford Stadium this Saturday night at 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). The Bulldogs are 24-1 SU in their last 25 games as a home favorite. Georgia needs a win to stay alive in the race for the top spot in the SEC East.
Georgia is a 2.5-point favorite, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. With more to play for and a sterling track record at home, the Bulldogs should be able to find a way to grit out a win against the tough Tigers.
The suspension of Todd Gurley was expected to slow Georgia down a bit on offense, but that hasn't really been the case. Nick Chubb has filled in well for Gurley as the full-time starter with four straight games of at least 140 yards of rushing and one rushing touchdown.
Key Trend: Auburn is 7-0 ATS past seven games as underdog -- more trends
Georgia has played each of its last four games away from home and put together a 3-1 SU and ATS record over that stretch, finally returning home for its final three games of the season this week. The Bulldogs are 11-1 SU in their last 12 conference home games.
OddsShark Computer Prediction: Georgia 61.1, Auburn 27
After escaping a road game against Ole Miss with a big defensive stand and a 35-31 win two weeks ago, Auburn appeared to be in firm control of its destiny. But as a 23.5-point home favorite facing a freshman quarterback last Saturday, Auburn suffered a stunning 41-38 loss at the hands of the Texas A&M Aggies.
Now sitting with two losses in the crowded SEC West, the Tigers' playoff chances are slim. Auburn is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games against Georgia.
The Tigers average 38.7 points per game on offense and Georgia averages 43 points per game, setting the stage for an offensive showdown in Athens. The OVER is 4-0 in Auburn's last four games as a road underdog and 9-1 in Georgia's last 10 games as a home favorite.
Both of these teams will be comfortable in a shootout, and that will likely be the type of game this is. At home, look for Georgia to make a few more big plays and come out on top.