Indianapolis is a 7-point road underdog according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. In what should be a great game between two well-balanced teams, the Colts should provide bettors with good value as a 7-point underdog.
OddsShark Computer Prediction: Denver 31.9, Indianapolis 28.4
For the third time in their last four games, the Indianapolis Colts held their opponent to only 10 points when they beat Cincinnati 26-10 on Sunday. With the win and cover, Indianapolis improved to 12-3 SU and 10-4-1 ATS over its last 15 games. Andrew Luck passed for 376 yards and a touchdown in the win to build on his excellent regular season. The Colts are just 2-8 SU and ATS in their last 10 road playoff games.
After passing for 34 touchdowns and 323.5 yards per game in Denver's first 11 games, Peyton Manning had only five touchdown passes and 233.8 passing yards per game in the Broncos' last five games of the season. Even without Manning putting up big numbers, Denver enjoyed success with a 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS record over that stretch thanks to strong play from the defense and running game. Up against Andrew Luck this week, the Broncos may need Manning to play a bigger role than he did in December. Denver is 17-1 SU and 10-8 ATS over its last 18 home games.
The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine games between the Colts and Broncos according to the OddsShark NFL Database, and 5-1 in Denver's last six home games. Sunday's total is set at 54 points at the sportsbooks.
On paper this game has the potential to be a shootout with two of the best quarterbacks in the world on a potential collision course. But whether the game ends up being a shootout or a game slowed down by Denver's new running game, Indianapolis has the defense and Andrew Luck's arm to keep this one close at +7 on the road.