The Indianapolis Colts are 8-1 straight up and 9-0 against the spread in their last nine games against the Denver Broncos. Despite their past success against the Broncos, the Colts enter Sunday's game in Denver as the underdog.
Indianapolis is a 6-point road underdog this Sunday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Colts are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in their last six games as an underdog of six points or less.
Andrew Luck looked fantastic in Indianapolis' season opener against the Detroit Lions last Sunday, passing for 385 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions. But unfortunately for the Colts, Luck's big day didn't translate to a win as the defense allowed 39 points in a 39-35 loss to the Lions at home. With the loss, the Colts fell to 2-4 SU and ATS over their last six games per the OddsShark NFL Database.
In addition to being strong as underdogs in recent seasons, the Colts have also played well after losses. Indianapolis is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games after a loss.
Betting Line / Total: Denver -6 / 46 Points
Trend: The Colts are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS in their last nine games against the Broncos.
Trend: The total has gone OVER in nine of the Colts' last 11 games against the Broncos.
The Broncos got the job done as a home underdog in their season opener, narrowly holding on for a 21-20 win over the Carolina Panthers. Trevor Siemian passed for only 178 yards with two interceptions in his first career start, but played better than the numbers indicated in leading his team to a win after entering the fourth quarter trailing the Panthers by 10.
The Broncos have won each of their last five games at home and are 26-4 SU and 15-14-1 ATS in their last 30 games in Denver.
Sunday's total is set at 46 points. The OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 games between these two teams and 6-2 in Indianapolis' last eight games as a betting underdog.
The 39 points that the Colts gave up to Detroit proved to be the most surrendered by any team in Week 1. Denver's offense isn't as high-octane as Detroit's, but its defense is much better than the Lions' is, too. If Indianapolis is going to pull off the upset in this one, it will need a much better performance from its defense as points are generally difficult to come by against this stingy Broncos unit.
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos
When: Sunday, September 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, Colorado