clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Penn State covers as a favorite. Michigan State covers as an underdog. Something’s gotta give

The Penn State Nittany Lions will try to earn a road win this Saturday over the Michigan State Spartans and rebound from last week's devastating loss at Ohio State.

Penn State v Ohio State Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images

The No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as a road favorite. The Nittany Lions hope to extend this winning streak and bounce back from last week's loss with a road win over the No. 24 Michigan State Spartans, who are 13-10 SU and 17-5-1 ATS as underdogs since Sept. 2011.

Penn State is a 9-point road favorite in East Lansing at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. In their last four games against Michigan State, the Nittany Lions are 1-3 SU and ATS.

Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan State Spartans

When: Saturday, Nov. 4, 12 p.m. ET

Where: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Mich.

Betting Line / Total: Penn State -9 / 48 Points

Nittany Lions at Spartans Matchup Report

Penn State Nittany Lions

The Nittany Lions could have secured their spot as the team to beat last Saturday on the road against the Ohio State Buckeyes, but instead fell just short in a thrilling 39-38 game in Columbus.

Even in defeat Penn State continued to reward its backers, earning another ATS victory as 7-point underdogs to improve to 15-1-1 ATS over its last 17 games. As a result of the loss, Penn State no longer controls its own destiny in the Big Ten or in the race for a College Football Playoff spot.

No underdog has upset the Nittany Lions since November of 2015. Penn State is 15-0 SU in its last 15 games as a favorite and 10-1-2 ATS in its last 13 games as one, per the OddsShark College Football Database.

Michigan State Spartans

Like Penn State, Michigan State enters this game coming off a painful and hard-fought loss. Despite 445 passing yards and four passing touchdowns from sophomore quarterback Brian Lewerke, the Spartans were unable to outlast the Northwestern Wildcats in a 39-31 triple-overtime loss.

The loss snapped a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS streak for the Spartans and essentially eliminated them from playoff contention. Michigan State is 7-1 ATS in its last seven games at home.

Saturday's total is set at 48 points. The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two teams.

With such similar disheartening losses last Saturday, it will be interesting to see how hyped up these two teams are this week. A big late-season loss can derail a season or serve as a motivator to finish strong. If both teams come into this one angry, it could be a physical and exciting game.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news, check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.