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How can Iceland qualify for the knockout round?

All the Iceland qualifying scenarios for the knockout round.

Nigeria v Iceland: Group D - 2018 FIFA World Cup Russia Photo by Laurence Griffiths/Getty Images

After Iceland lost a heartbreaking game to Nigeria in the second round of group play, they find themselves with a tough road to advance out of Group D. It also had people asking: Is Iceland out of the 2018 World Cup?

But they’re not done yet! While they need some help, Iceland can still grab the second spot in the group and advance to the knockout round. They just need to beat Croatia in their 2 p.m. ET game today ... and they need some help.

First, here is where we are now:

Group D standings after two matches

Group D

Team Points Goal Diff. Goals Scored
Team Points Goal Diff. Goals Scored
Croatia 6 5 5
Nigeria 3 0 2
Iceland 1 -2 1
Argentina 1 -3 1

While it’s hard, Iceland can still advance, if:

  1. Iceland beats Croatia by two or more goals
  2. Nigeria ties Argentina
  3. If goal differential between Nigeria and Iceland tied, Iceland must score more goals than Nigeria scored in the tournament


  1. Iceland beats Croatia
  2. Argentina beats Nigeria
  3. Iceland wins by as many goals as Argentina wins by

If Iceland ties or loses to Croatia, they will be out.

There are all sorts of scenarios at play here, especially if Nigeria and Argentina tie, so you should read up on all our tiebreaker scenarios.