- Joined: Oct 22, 2015
- Last Login: Oct 13, 2021, 3:12pm EDT
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It is important to remember...
if the Sox are really going to blow $16 million picking up Kimbrel’s option, that the empty suits just said the money would be spent. At no time did they say it would be spent intelligently.
Not to brag, but
Please note the actual ALDS roster is exactly as called for by Geezer (Will had Ryan Burr instead of Jose Ruiz).
I think consideeration has to be opponent specific
Lynn has been pummeled by the Astros the past two years (4-8-6-6-1-6 this year, OPS 1.154 in 2020) while Giolito has done extremely well since 2019 (two complete games, one run total) and Rodon shut them down twice this year (14 innings, one run). Given Rodon’s health issues and the need for game one starter to be able to go in game five, Giolito is the obvious choice for game one, and if Rodon appears healthy (big if) he should probably be game two starter. Lynn against Houston is a big gamble, as is Cease, given his tendency to pitch very well against bad teams (11-4, 3.15) and very poorly against good ones (2-3, 6.04).
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It would pay to be more opponent-specific
If Rodon is healthy – admittedly a big if – he and Giolito have to be 1-2, in whatever order. Rodon faced the Astros twice, home and away, giving up just four hits and one run over 14 innings. Giolito tossed a complete game, three-hit, one-run doozy at home.
Lynn gave up eight hits and six runs in four innings in Houston. If you think that’s a one-off, note they smashed him to the tune of a 1.154 OPS last year.
Cease lasted 8 1/3 in two tries, giving up ten runs, nine of them earned.
Keuchel was even worse.