- Joined: May 6, 2012
- Last Login: Sep 8, 2021, 8:33am EDT
- Posts: 7
- Comments: 1,060
Share this profile
Comment 2 replies, 8 recs
the stuff will be intriguing and he’ll snap off some breaking balls that make you dream, but then he’ll leave a few meatballs up over the plate that AA players might miss but big leaguers won’t miss, and he’ll get knocked around. That seems to be the general story with all these young starters – you can see the promise but there’s no consistency yet. Seems like a pretty normal development trajectory. Maybe by 2023!
In any case I’m excited to see him pitch, and hope that he wins the 2021 AL Cy Young by striking out all batters he faces for the rest of the season with only three pitches/batter.
Comment 1 reply
Before we pencil Isbel and/or Olivares into the starting outfield
I’ll just note that the up to date Steamer projections predict that each of them are currently worth .9 wins per 600 plate appearances. Breakouts are certainly possible, but… I wouldn’t hold my breath. That kind of production is totally fine if 2022 is a development year instead of a contention year, to be clear, and I think that’s probably the best way to think about 2022. Maybe by 2023 one of them could be a 2-3 win player.
Comment 10 recs
Alright, this is a pretty good argument
You’ve convinced me to roll with Mondesi + MAT as the CF plan.
Then you only need to sign one above-average corner OF, if you think they can cobble the other corner together out of Beni and the other in house guys. Personally, though, I think that’s a recipe for getting zero production out of that cobble-together corner.
Comment 1 reply
I'm still skeptical this would be enough to make the team competitive
You’re banking on good production from Mondesi at a position he’s never played, and some kind of bounce back from Benintendi. I like the idea of Conforto though. They just need one more legit guy after that, preferably CF.
Comment 1 reply
I mostly agree, and thanks for commenting! But I guess the point I was making was that we shouldn’t kid ourselves: to be good next year, the Royals would actually have to win the bidding for Marte. For starters. It’s a deep hole to dig out of.
Comment 1 rec
I'm not down on Isbel in the long term
I just think the normal development curve for good but non-elite prospects looks like Nicky Lopez – it takes a couple years of scuffling or inconsistency before they get to being consistent big league players. I don’t expect Isbel to be a league average outfielder in 2022, but I think he could still get there.
Comment 2 recs
this feels like a recipe for disaster to me
I mean, anything could happen, but these all feel like bad bets to me. Beni and Dozier are not good, and Mondesi has never played the position or stayed on the field. So if this is Plan A, things look bad.
I like this plan too
Although I think you need one really good free agent OF (think Starling Marte) and one league average one to fill in the huge gap they have. I hope they will just pay for it instead of moving any of the young pitchers or IF prospects (not holding my breath).
Thanks for reading!
I didn’t really intend for this post to be an indictment of DM, but it’s hard to disagree that the Rays are a model franchise, and KC definitely doesn’t operate like they do. I have mixed feelings about that tbh.