- Joined: Feb 18, 2011
- Last Login: Nov 29, 2021, 1:58pm EST
- Posts: 8
- Comments: 1,709
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Comment 4 replies, 7 recs
Did anyone read Manfred's "letter to baseball fans"?
Although he made some good points, I found it off-putting that the commissioner of baseball—a position at one time was supposed to be neutral in regards to players vs. owners—put out what was clearly a propaganda piece for the owners that threw the players under the bus to justify the lockout.
And as I predicted yesterday, he used the recent flurry of over-previous-market free agent deals to demonstrate to the public that the players have nothing to complain about. If Sherman/Moore, etc., just didn’t want to play that game, then good for them.
I do think the players ought to give in on a few points for the betterment of competitive balance and such, but I think it’s both ugly and stupid for the owners to villainize the players right at the front end of negotiations, players they are going to try to turn around and market for their own profit as soon as negotiations end.
Comment 1 reply, 1 rec
I'm fine with the Royals sitting out this flurry
It seems like teams are throwing out a ton of money to say: "What problems? You’re making your money…" after years of very slow markets for free agents (as a possibly intentional negotiating strategy).
Most of these deals seem like overpays, and most of the action has been free agents, not trades. The Royals are better served to make trades rather than sign free agents. I don’t know if I’ve seen a signing where I thought the Royals should have made that signing for that price.
Jury's definitely still out on Springer's contract. He only signed for 5 years (but he's that many years older than Correa)
Springer is a much better hitter than Correa. I think his bat will age much better, because power ages well, and he has a lot more power than Correa. Springer’s defense slipped along with injuries last year, but he still hit a ton. Correa has only once in his career put up a better OPS+ than Springer did last season.
It will be hard for me to root for Dykes initially
Just because I am such a Patterson guy, since his success is basically why I care about college football at all (my first year at TCU was Pat Sullivan’s last). Also because I like to be right, and I don’t think this is a great hire.
But I will eventually just root for TCU, because that’s what I do. Maybe. Or I will just go back to never caring about college football, which is where I was before I went to TCU.
Comment 2 replies
Big 12 thoughts
As a TCU alum, I will give my thoughts on Sonny Dykes. He might be a good hire, but it’s hard being the guy after The Guy. Patterson is literally the only coach who has ever had sustained success there. He left a much better program than what he and Franchione inherited when he arrived, but they’ve had a ton of de-commits and their best player just entered the transfer portal. It’s going to be ugly before it gets better.
I have a feeling it might follow the story of Patterson’s alma mater, Kansas State, where Bill Snyder had years of success when no one else ever had, things deteriorated, and he left. Then K-State found that no one else could replicate that success and brought Snyder back as an old-man savior. I would not be in the least surprised to see it play out that way with Patterson and TCU. The only thing is that the administrative leadership at TCU will have to change before that, because I think they’ve done a little bridge-burning with Patterson the way they’ve treated him.
Comment 1 reply
Does that mean the Tigers don't get Correa? Or does Baez just play 2B?
Seager getting $325M all but guarantees Correa gets more, which is insane.
If the Yankees sign Correa, he will be the most hated Yankee in New York by 2025 (unless they win the World Series in ‘22 and/or ’23). But that pretty much goes for anyone but the Astros who sign Correa to a $350-$400M deal. He’s not worth it. Not even close. Even less so to the normal fan’s eye, who will see an oft-injured .260 hitter who doesn’t hit 30 HR or drive in 100, rather than a WAR number pumped up by advanced defensive metrics. And I say all this as someone who has rooted for the Astros during his tenure.
Comment 1 rec
That contract, to me, is an obvious yes
If you compare that contract to Franco, you see how quickly the price will go up with a great debut season.
That being said, I don’t see why Witt would sign an $89M deal when Franco just signed a $223M deal. I think there would have to be at least $100M in guaranteed money for him to sign it. This contract is only about $48M in guarantees.
Comment 2 replies, 3 recs
Another addition (as much as it pains me to say it, since I am one of his biggest fans)
Instead of extending Hunter Dozier for $25 million… don’t. And add in the early season decision to put him on the IL and give him a full rehab in the minors to get back to full strength, instead of having him play hurt.
Another addition would be to kick Adalberto Mondesi’s offseason training regimen into gear last year instead of this one.
Of course, a 20/20 hindsight offseason could have really caused the Royals to contend, but that’s probably true for just about anyone.
Comment 2 replies
Comment 2 replies, 2 recs
I don't know that I'd sign Suzuki to the reported numbers here (for Marte), either
But if I were to spend $50 million on Marte or Suzuki, it would be on the 26-year-old power hitter, not the 33-year-old speedster whose exit velocity is already lower than 80% of hitters.
Comment 1 rec
I think if the Royals get a veteran starter, he needs to be clearly better than Mike Minor
I’m not sure Jon Gray fits that description.
The argument for signing a starter when they have so many presumably MLB-ready not-so-youngsters available is that a few will stink and a few will get hurt, and there’s not really five there in that group of 8-9. I get that, but the reason to upgrade is to be more ready to compete for the playoffs. That requires that the guy be actually good, not just steady. Otherwise, you’re spending money to impede sorting through who’s a starter, who’s a reliever, and who’s a bust. I’d rather they sign someone like Verlander to the deal he signed with the Astros ($25M with a player option… not that they had the opportunity) than to sign someone else who, if the young guys collectively meet their potential, could end up as your 5th-7th-best starter.
It's crazy that Correa would get twice (or more) the contract as George Springer
When Springer is generally a better hitter and was only a couple years older hitting free agency. Springer at 6/$150M wasn’t that bad (although it’s a little long). So maybe 8/$210M for Correa would be the same market. Matching Tatis from age 27 on, he’d get 9/$292. I could see him asking for that, but it would be dumb to give him that, seeing as Tatis would still be a great player if he played 1B. Correa needs to be a great shortstop to be a star, and he’s got a big body that doesn’t stay healthy and will need to move to 3B before a 10-year contract is more than halfway over, most likely.
Comment 2 replies
One trade idea
I wonder if the Royals could find a match with someone who needs a 3B or 3B depth and trade Emmanuel Rivera for sort of the outfielder or version of Emmanuel Rivera or a reliever prospect that is sort of the same level as Rivera. Rivera had a bit of a breakout year in AAA this year at 25. He wasn’t very good in his limited time with the Royals, but he’s sort of at the now-or-never stage of his career. He’s behind Witt and Mondesi in the infield depth chart here, but maybe someone would be interested and the Royals could get someone sort of like Rivera (not a big prospect but has earned a look) at a position of greater need.
Comment 1 reply
Those shortstop contracts are insane
Those will be hated contracts by 2027. Correa, in particular, will be hated by whatever fanbase whose team signs him to that kind of deal. His stat line that the average fan understands will be underwhelming, and I don’t see him staying healthy. He doesn’t hit even close to .300, he’s never hit 30 HR or driven in 100. His superstar status is based on positional value and defense, which is likely to decline quickly. He’s no A-Rod. Whatever fans are excited on signing day will quickly remember that they hated him for being on the 2017 Astros and turn on him when he’s hitting .260 and missing 20-40 games (or more) per season.
I wouldn’t sign him to the original A-Rod deal (10 years, $252 million), even in today’s dollars. The Astros reportedly won’t go more than five years on him, and that’s smart.
Seager is more likely to carry the contract with his bat, but he’s likely to have to move off SS sooner than Correa and he has the same types of problems staying healthy. Those are disaster contracts waiting to happen.
And Dozier at 1B
Comment 1 rec
I had the same reaction when I started to learn there were Chick-Fil-A devotees
I just thought of it as a mall food-court option. Nothing special.
I will say this: if someone caters Chick-Fil-A with a big tray of nuggets, I will crush some Chick-Fil-A nuggets. Those are good with that sauce. It’s just I need about 20 of them for a satisfying meal.
Comment 2 recs
My prediction: If Carlos Correa signs a $300 million contract, that fanbase will end up hating him.
I don’t think he’ll be healthy enough to make a 10-year contract look good. His superstar-level WAR this year is based on his defense, which hasn’t always been more than just "solid" (he was really good this year, though), so I think that will regress. And his bat is just good, not great. When everyone was healthy for the Astros, he usually hit 6th. He can be a good 4-5-hole hitter in a normal lineup, but he’s not going to wow anyone with his final stats. He’s going to hit under .280 most of the time, and he’s never hit 30 home runs or driven in 100. The fans will expect more from a $300 man, and that’s not even talking about what will happen in the second half of that deal.
On top of that, he’s disliked around the country for the trash-can-banging scandal; he used the system at one of the higher rates on the team in the one season he hit .300. Fans of whatever team signs him will have to convince themselves that they like him now that he’s on "their team," so then when he fails to meet their expectations, they will turn on him quickly.
Comment 3 replies, 3 recs
In my circles, not liking Chick-Fil-A that much is almost blasphemous
I generally think it’s overpriced and I just don’t like chicken in general that much. Chick-Fil-A only has one price level, so to go there, you have to "pay the piper," so to speak. There’s no value menu, no way to manipulate the menu for your family to eat cheap, etc. It’s $30+ and I’m hungry when it’s over. So we generally don’t go there. It’s where my wife and son go when they grab a meal together.
I don’t think I’ve ever gone to Chick-Fil-A by myself. I’m less of a fan of Whataburger and Sonic than I lot of people I know, and I really don’t like Burger King much at all, but I will occasionally get a coupon or just feel like it’s the option I go with. But never Chick-Fil-A. If I want cheap, there’s something cheaper. If I’m willing to splurge, there’s something I like better.
Comment 1 reply, 1 rec
I'm surprised they would just let Rudy Martin walk
But most of the other guys had some sort of shot and didn’t capitalize or have been consistently underperforming for a while now.
Martin had a really good season this year. I thought he was a good candidate to hold down a backup spot for the Royals next year, particularly if they had a couple of injuries. I thought he’s shown potential.
I’d rather have Viloria in AAA than not have him, but I’m not worried about it if he moves on.