icastico

Round 2
Jones 22 of 37 – 59%
Reyes: 33 of 68 – 48%

It is the only factor that seems to make sense for swaying the judges in real time – when Jones threw a strike it was more likely to land than not, when Reyes threw a strike it was more likely to miss than land. The judges don’t have accurate counts of blows in real time, so it may have seemed like Jones was the more effective striker from the judges perspective.

Note: I didn’t get to see this fight – so I was wondering about how the impressions of the viewers and the judges differed – I looked up the stats.
First, I note that Jones was more accurate with his strikes across 4 of 5 rounds – and in a lopsided way. To me this says that judges are seeing Reyes miss 150 or so strikes, and come away with a reduced sense of his "effectiveness" in striking, even if he landed more total strikes in 3 rounds – and Jones gets a boost for the opposite reason – that can make the virtually tied round (3) lean in Jones’s favor on strikes. Second, under the judging rules they were using (the old rules), more consideration is given to "octagon control" – a disadvantage to a counter striker. The stats, divorced from viewing the fight argue for 1 & 2 to Reyes, and 4 & 5 to Jones with a virtual tie for round 3 with a couple of explanation for tipping the scales towards Jones. Edging it out seems like an apt description of Jones’s win. IMHO